554  
FXUS01 KWBC 301847  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
246 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
VALID 00Z TUE JUL 01 2025 - 00Z THU JUL 03 2025  
 
...AN ACTIVE SUMMER TIME THUNDERSTORM PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE  
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS NEXT FEW DAYS, WHILE DRY CONDITIONS  
EXPECTED ACROSS THE WEST INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S...  
 
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WEST TUESDAY AND  
FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN  
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY, BUT NO RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED...  
 
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND  
SOUTHEAST...  
   
..FIRE WEATHER THREATS ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN
 
 
AN ACTIVE SUMMER TIME THUNDERSTORM PATTERN ON TAP FOR LARGE  
PORTIONS OF THE NATION FROM THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, EASTWARD  
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE NATION,  
FOCUSING ALONG AND AHEAD OF OF A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY  
ACROSS THESE AREAS. MOISTURE VALUES IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT  
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE, SUPPORTING HEAVY RAIN  
POTENTIAL ACROSS A LARGE SECTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN  
CONUS. FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF  
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND FAR WESTERN NEW  
YORK STATE. HOWEVER, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD  
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE  
SOUTH AND EAST, LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE,  
ESPECIALLY IN MORE URBANIZED REGIONS. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY  
RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING THREATS IN THIS ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM  
PATTERN, SEVERE WEATHER IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH HIGH WINDS AND LARGE  
HAIL THE MOST LIKELY TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER.  
 
TEMPERATURE WISE, MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TUESDAY  
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST, ROCKIES, PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN  
PLAINS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS  
SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA, WHILE HEAT ADVISORIES  
ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN, PACIFIC  
NORTHWEST, LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC. THESE ABOVE  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN  
GREAT BASIN, NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS, WITH COOLER  
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST, LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC. EVEN IN REGIONS THAT WILL SEE MUCH ABOVE  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, THERE IS NOT  
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE ANY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES. MUCH BELOW  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHERE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL KEEP  
CONDITIONS COOL. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ALSO LIKELY ACROSS  
THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CONUS THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  
 
WHILE WET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN U.S.  
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, DRY WEATHER IS LIKELY FROM THE NORTH  
CENTRAL U.S., WEST ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES, NORTHWEST,  
GREAT BASIN AND CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWEST. THESE DRY  
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS  
THE WEST OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH RED FLAG WARNINGS CURRENTLY  
IN EFFECT ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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