716  
FXUS01 KWBC 020731  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
330 AM EDT WED JUL 02 2025  
 
VALID 12Z WED JUL 02 2025 - 12Z FRI JUL 04 2025  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC AS WELL AS EASTERN GULF COAST, ON WEDNESDAY AND  
EASTERN GULF COAST ON THURSDAY...  
 
ON WEDNESDAY, A FRONT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST TO CENTRAL  
APPALACHIANS AND TENNESSEE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS WILL HAVE THE  
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE BOUNDARY DISSIPATE EAST OF THE NORTHEAST  
COAST BY THURSDAY. THE SOUTHERN PART EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST/CENTRAL GULF WILL BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY  
ALONG THE GULF AND SOUTHEAST COAST BY THURSDAY EVENING AND  
DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC TO THE  
SOUTHEAST/EASTERN GULF COAST AND WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND EASTERN GULF COAST.  
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND A  
SECOND AREA OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.  
THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF  
FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND  
LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ON THURSDAY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL  
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF FLORIDA. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A  
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
EASTERN GULF COAST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE. FURTHER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST ON WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY.  
 
IN ADDITION, ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF EASTERN  
CANADA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES AND ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD OFF THE NORTHEAST  
COAST BY FRIDAY. ON THURSDAY, THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND  
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY AND OVER THE NORTHEAST AND GREAT  
LAKES/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
 
MEANWHILE, A FRONT MOVING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY  
ADVANCES TO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS/NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO THE  
GREAT BASIN BY FRIDAY. ON WEDNESDAY, THE BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE  
SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS/NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN  
REGION. FURTHERMORE, AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS ON THURSDAY, SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL ALSO OCCUR OVER THE REGION.  
 
ADDITIONALLY, ON WEDNESDAY, AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW ALONG THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN.  
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH  
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHWEST WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER THE AREA. THEREFORE, THE WPC  
HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHWEST  
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE  
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,  
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY OVER THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES, AND  
SOUTHWEST.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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