655  
FXUS01 KWBC 030726  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
325 AM EDT THU JUL 03 2025  
 
VALID 12Z THU JUL 03 2025 - 12Z SAT JUL 05 2025  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND EASTERN GULF COAST ON  
THURSDAY AND NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST AND  
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC ON THURSDAY...  
 
ON THURSDAY, A FRONT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND CENTRAL GULF  
COAST WILL LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING ON THE  
4TH OF JULY. TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER FLORIDA AND UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY  
WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS  
OF THE WESTERN COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THEREFORE, THE WPC  
HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE EASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
IN ADDITION, MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THEREFORE, THE  
WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH  
FRIDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY  
LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL  
STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
FURTHERMORE, A SECOND FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND INTO PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL  
MOVE EASTWARD, THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES  
AND INTO THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.  
THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS  
OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH FRIDAY  
MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A  
FEW TORNADOES. THERE WILL BE AN ADDED THREAT OF HAIL TWO INCHES OR  
GREATER OVER THE AREA.  
 
MOREOVER, A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST BY FRIDAY  
MORNING. ON THURSDAY, THE FRONT WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL  
2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST AND THE  
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
ADDITIONALLY, ON THURSDAY, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY, DAYTIME HEATING,  
AND MOISTURE WILL DEVELOP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF  
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, NORTHERN  
ROCKIES, AND GREAT BASIN.  
 
MEANWHILE, ON THE 4TH OF JULY, AS THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY, STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF  
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF  
THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE WPC  
HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FROM FRIDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE  
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,  
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ALSO ON THE 4TH OF JULY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP  
OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, NORTHERN  
ROCKIES, AND THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/GREAT BASIN.  
FURTHER, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY AND AMPLE MOISTURE WILL TRIGGER  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN  
ROCKIES AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY. FURTHERMORE,  
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY AND AMPLE MOISTURE WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST, TENNESSEE  
VALLEY, SOUTHEAST, CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS, AND SOUTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC ON THE 4TH OF JULY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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