874
FXUS01 KWBC 071851
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
248 PM EDT MON JUL 07 2025
VALID 00Z TUE JUL 08 2025 - 00Z THU JUL 10 2025
..HEAVY RAINS DIMINISHING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL
PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT, ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
ON TUESDAY...
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM THE HIGH PLAINS, WEST
THROUGH THE ROCKIES, GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST...
..MAJOR HEAT RISKS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST ON TUESDAY
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS,
RESULTING IN CATASTROPHIC FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS,
SOME RELIEF IS IN STORE DURING TUESDAY. THE ONGOING ACTIVE
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO POSE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THIS
EVENING. HOWEVER, BY TUESDAY, THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO
BE LESS ACTIVE, WITH THE PRIMARY AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE NORTH OF THE RECENTLY HARD HIT AREAS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS.
THUNDERSTORMS, HOWEVER, WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS,
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS WITH WINDS THE
GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER RISK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE HAIL AND A LESSER
THREAT OF TORNADOES. BY TUESDAY, THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT
WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, EAST INTO THE LOWER
MISSOURI VALLEY AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. IN
ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC ON
TUESDAY, THE HEAVY RAINS FROM THESE STORMS WILL ALSO POSE A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT, ESPECIALLY IN MORE URBANIZED REGIONS.
TEMPERATURE WISE ACROSS THE CONUS, MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED INTO WEDNESDAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST, ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN, ROCKIES AND INTO THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA, SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ARIZONA AND FAR
SOUTHERN NEVADA, WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
ARE EXPECTED TO ECLIPSE 110 DEGREES. HEAT ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN
EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN. THE HEAT
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH ON WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND
INTO THE NORTHWEST. AT THIS TIME, THE HEAT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
INTO THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED IN THE UPPER 90S AND LOWER 100S. HEAT WILL ALSO BE
BUILDING ON TUESDAY ALONG A LARGE PORTION OF THE EAST FROM ATLANTA
TO BOSTON. HEAT ADVISORIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN POSTED FOR COASTAL
LOCATIONS FORM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE HEAT RISKS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAJOR ON
TUESDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES BY MID TO LATE WEEK WILL
REDUCE THE HEAT RISKS ACROSS THESE AREAS FROM TUESDAY'S MAJOR
LEVELS.
ORAVEC
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