874  
FXUS01 KWBC 071851  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
248 PM EDT MON JUL 07 2025  
 
VALID 00Z TUE JUL 08 2025 - 00Z THU JUL 10 2025  
   
..HEAVY RAINS DIMINISHING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY  
 
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL  
PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT, ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN PLAINS  
ON TUESDAY...  
 
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM THE HIGH PLAINS, WEST  
THROUGH THE ROCKIES, GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST...  
   
..MAJOR HEAT RISKS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST ON TUESDAY  
 
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS,  
RESULTING IN CATASTROPHIC FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS,  
SOME RELIEF IS IN STORE DURING TUESDAY. THE ONGOING ACTIVE  
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO POSE LIFE  
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THIS  
EVENING. HOWEVER, BY TUESDAY, THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO  
BE LESS ACTIVE, WITH THE PRIMARY AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS  
TO THE NORTH OF THE RECENTLY HARD HIT AREAS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS.  
 
THUNDERSTORMS, HOWEVER, WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE THIS AFTERNOON  
INTO TONIGHT ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS,  
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  
SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS WITH WINDS THE  
GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER RISK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE HAIL AND A LESSER  
THREAT OF TORNADOES. BY TUESDAY, THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT  
WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, EAST INTO THE LOWER  
MISSOURI VALLEY AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. IN  
ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC ON  
TUESDAY, THE HEAVY RAINS FROM THESE STORMS WILL ALSO POSE A FLASH  
FLOOD THREAT, ESPECIALLY IN MORE URBANIZED REGIONS.  
 
TEMPERATURE WISE ACROSS THE CONUS, MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
EXPECTED INTO WEDNESDAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST, ACROSS THE GREAT  
BASIN, ROCKIES AND INTO THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  
EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS  
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA, SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ARIZONA AND FAR  
SOUTHERN NEVADA, WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS  
ARE EXPECTED TO ECLIPSE 110 DEGREES. HEAT ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN  
EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN. THE HEAT  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO  
DIMINISH ON WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND  
INTO THE NORTHWEST. AT THIS TIME, THE HEAT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD  
INTO THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES  
ARE EXPECTED IN THE UPPER 90S AND LOWER 100S. HEAT WILL ALSO BE  
BUILDING ON TUESDAY ALONG A LARGE PORTION OF THE EAST FROM ATLANTA  
TO BOSTON. HEAT ADVISORIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN POSTED FOR COASTAL  
LOCATIONS FORM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND  
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE HEAT RISKS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAJOR ON  
TUESDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES BY MID TO LATE WEEK WILL  
REDUCE THE HEAT RISKS ACROSS THESE AREAS FROM TUESDAY'S MAJOR  
LEVELS.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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