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FXUS06 KWBC 101935
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK, MD
300 PM EDT THU JULY 10 2025
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 16 - 20 2025
AT THE OUTSET OF THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD, MID-LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST ACROSS THE
EASTERN PACIFIC AND NORTHEASTERN NORTH AMERICA, WITH TROUGHING SITUATED ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL CANADA. THIS RIDGE-TROUGH ORIENTATION OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA
FAVORS ENHANCED NORTHERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT
PUSHING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST. THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO BE
PROGRESSIVE, WITH A BROAD 594-DM RIDGE EXPANDING BACK INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL
CONUS BY DAY-10. THE 6-10 DAY MANUAL 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND DEPICTS ABOVE-NORMAL
HEIGHTS ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC AND THE NORTHEASTERN CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES
(CONUS) WITH HEIGHTS CLOSER TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS, ALONG WITH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN STATES.
OVER THE CONUS, THE MOST NOTABLE MEAN CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY IS FOR CLOSER TO
NORMAL HEIGHTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS AND SOUTHWESTERN CANADA, WHERE
SIGNIFICANT POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES WERE DEPICTED YESTERDAY. ACROSS ALASKA,
NORTH OF THE STRONG NORTH PACIFIC MID-LEVEL RIDGE, A FAIRLY STRONG MID-LEVEL
TROUGH IS INITIALLY FORECAST WITH AN AXIS JUST WEST OF MAINLAND ALASKA, WHICH
IS MORE AMPLIFIED AND FARTHER WEST THAN FORECAST YESTERDAY AT THE START OF THE
6- TO 10-DAY PERIOD. THIS FEATURE ESSENTIALLY REMAINS IN PLACE WHILE SLOWLY
DEAMPLIFYING, RESULTING IN A MID-LEVEL PATTERN SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY’S SOLUTION
BY DAY 10. MEANWHILE, THE NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE APPEARS TO DEAMPLIFY WHILE
DRIFTING EASTWARD DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD BEFORE RE-AMPLIFYING
LATER. THE GEFS MEAN IS WEAKER WITH THIS MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD, BUT THE MORE AMPLIFIED SOLUTIONS OF THE EUROPEAN AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE
MEANS ARE FAVORED AT THIS TIME.
ENHANCED RIDGING AND ABOVE-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS FAVOR INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN AND EASTERN CONUS, EXCEPT
ALONG THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST, WHERE MOST TOOLS DERIVED FROM THE ENSEMBLES
FAVOR REDUCED ODDS FOR WARMTH COMPARED TO SURROUNDING AREAS. THIS IS AT LEAST
PARTIALLY DUE TO EXPECTED ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION THERE DURING THE PERIOD.
CHANCES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXCEED 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
AND THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST, CONSISTENT WITH MOST GUIDANCE. MEANWHILE, DYNAMICAL
MODELS DEPICT AN UNSEASONABLY POTENT COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS
AND MIDWEST DURING THE PERIOD. AS A RESULT, PROBABILITIES FOR BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE INCREASED ABOVE 60 PERCENT FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND ADJACENT GREAT LAKES REGION.
THE SIGNAL FOR BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES REMAINS STRONG IN THE EUROPEAN
ENSEMBLE (ECENS) REFORECAST TOOL, AND TODAY IS JOINED BY THE CANADIAN ENSEMBLE
(CNENS) REFORECAST TOOL, WHICH SHOWS INCREASED ODDS FOR SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES
RELATIVE TO YESTERDAY. THE GEFS MEAN FAVORS BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THIS
REGION AS WELL, BUT WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER PROBABILITIES. MODEL TRENDS AND A
PREPONDERANCE OF THE TOOLS POINT TOWARD GREATER ODDS FOR LOWER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. FARTHER SOUTH, MOST TOOLS CONTINUE TO FAVOR SUBNORMAL
TEMPERATURES, BUT WITH LOWER ODDS THAN FARTHER NORTH. THIS IS REASONABLE GIVEN
THE POTENTIAL FOR RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW PUSHING NORTHWARD NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN
TAIL OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH STARTS TO WEAKEN LATE IN THE PERIOD. ACROSS
ALASKA, TEMPERATURE TOOLS DERIVED FROM THE ENSEMBLES ARE INCONSISTENT. RAW
OUTPUTS FAVOR WARMTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER WITH SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES
FAVORED FARTHER SOUTH, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE BIAS-CORRECTED
TOOLS DERIVED FROM THE GEFS AND CNENS ARE SIMILAR, BUT THE ECENS BIAS-CORRECTED
TEMPERATURE TOOL BRINGS ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FARTHER SOUTH, ESPECIALLY IN
SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE STATE. CALIBRATED OUTPUT FROM THE ENSEMBLES, ON THE
OTHER HAND, SUPPORTS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES STATEWIDE. GIVEN THE
ARRAY OF FORECAST SOLUTIONS ACROSS ALASKA, THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DEVIATES ONLY
SLIGHTLY FROM STATEWIDE NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURE PROBABILITIES, WITH SOME
ENHANCED ODDS FOR SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHWEST MAINLAND. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH A
SUBJECTIVE BLEND OF THE BIAS-CORRECTED AND CALIBRATED TOOLS, WHICH APPEAR MORE
CONSISTENT WITH THE 500-HPA HEIGHT PATTERN. ENHANCED PROBABILITIES FOR
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST ACROSS HAWAII SUPPORTED BY THE
CONSOLIDATED FORECAST TOOL.
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL SYSTEM FAVORS INCREASED ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS FROM THE ROCKIES EASTWARD AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
INTO A REGION WITH ELEVATED MOISTURE CONTENT. A MORE ROBUST FRONT AS DEPICTED
IN THE ECENS MAY PULL ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS, LEADING TO RENEWED HEAVY RAINFALL CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW
MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS WHERE PROBABILITIES FOR SURPLUS PRECIPITATION EXCEED
50 PERCENT. SURFACE LOW FORMATION IS POSSIBLE ALONG A DECAYING QUASI-STATIONARY
FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTH ATLANTIC REGION AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST, INCREASING
THE ODDS FOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ABOVE 40 PERCENT OVER THESE AREAS.
MEANWHILE, A NONDESCRIPT MID-LEVEL PATTERN AND NEAR-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS JUST
EAST OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH FAVOR PRECIPITATION TOTALS CLOSER TO NORMAL
THERE. ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW SUPPORTS ELEVATED ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES FOR MOST OF ALASKA, WITH ODDS TOPPING 40 PERCENT ALONG THE
WESTERN TIER OF THE MAINLAND CLOSEST TO THE POTENT MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS OVER
THE BERING STRAIT. FARTHER EAST, WHERE 500-HPA HEIGHTS ARE NEAR OR ABOVE
NORMAL, ENHANCED CHANCES FOR NEAR- OR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION COVER
SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA. ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS MARGINALLY FAVORED ACROSS
HAWAII, WITH THE ENSEMBLE MEANS PLACING A WEAK MEAN 500-HPA LOW TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE STATE.
THE OFFICIAL 6-10 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF 28% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8, 35% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN
CENTERED ON DAY 8, 15% OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z ECMWF CENTERED ON DAY 8, AND
22% OF TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 OUT OF 5, DUE TO GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN, OFFSET BY SOME DIFFERENCES IN
THE EVOLUTION OF THE CENTRAL CONUS COLD FRONT, ALONG WITH INCONSISTENT
TEMPERATURE TOOLS DERIVED FROM THE ENSEMBLES OVER ALASKA.
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 18 - 24 2025
THE CENTRAL CONUS FRONT DRIFTS EASTWARD AND SLOWLY DISSIPATES DURING WEEK-2
WHILE A BROAD AND FLAT RIDGE IS FORECAST TO EXPAND ACROSS THE CONUS LATER IN
WEEK-2, ENDING THE PERIOD WITH A 595 TO 597 DM MID-LEVEL HEIGHT MAXIMUM OVER
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. NEAR- TO ABOVE-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS ARE FAVORED
ACROSS THE ENTIRE CONUS BY ALL THE ENSEMBLE MEANS, ALTHOUGH THE LOCATIONS OF
THE GREATEST 500-HPA POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES ARE IN QUESTION. THE CNENS SHOWS
MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS MORE THAN 60 METERS ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS AT THE END OF
WEEK-2, BUT THE GEFS MEAN AND THE ECENS MEAN KEEP POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES
UNDER 60 METERS, WITH A MAJORITY OF THE CONUS UNDER 30 TO 60 METER HEIGHT
ANOMALIES. THIS PATTERN WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THE CENTRAL CONUS COLD FRONT AS IT
DRIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD, ALLOWING THE UNSEASONABLY CHILLY AIR MASS
INITIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS TO MODERATE AS IT EXPANDS TOWARD THE GULF AND
ATLANTIC COASTS. MID-LEVEL RIDGING AND AN ASSOCIATED STRENGTHENING SURFACE HIGH
ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC, WITH VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING OF TROUGHING
OVER CENTERED NEAR THE BERING STRAIT. AS A RESULT, ABOVE-NORMAL HEIGHTS ARE
DEPICTED IN THE MANUAL BLEND ACROSS MUCH OF ALASKA, WITH LARGER POSITIVE
ANOMALIES FAVORED ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS COMPARED TO
FARTHER NORTH.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED ACROSS MOST OF THE INTERIOR WESTERN CONUS
UNDERNEATH WEAKLY ABOVE-NORMAL HEIGHTS, AS SUPPORTED BY THE GEFS AND ECENS
REFORECAST TOOLS. THE HIGHEST ODDS FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES (OVER 50
PERCENT) COVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IN SOUTHERN IDAHO AND TO THE EAST OF THE
CASCADES. MEANWHILE, THE COOLER-THAN-NORMAL POOL OF AIR IN THE CENTRAL CONUS
SLOWLY RETRACTS TO THE NORTH AND EAST WITH TIME AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEAKENS
AND POSSIBLY STALLS OVER THE SOUTH ATLANTIC AND CENTRAL GULF COAST REGIONS,
CONFINING ENHANCED ODDS FOR COOLER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS TO A SWATH FROM THE
NORTHERN AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
WESTERN OHIO VALLEY. DIFFERENCES IN THE FORECAST STRENGTH AND EVOLUTION OF THE
CENTRAL CONUS COLD FRONT LEAD TO AN UNCERTAIN TEMPERATURE FORECAST FARTHER
SOUTH AND EAST, BUT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS THE AREA OF MEAN SUBNORMAL
TEMPERATURES FARTHER WEST THAN MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE, WITH BROADLY ABOVE-NORMAL
500-HPA HEIGHTS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THE POOL OF COOL AIR TO MODERATE AND PERHAPS
NOT PUSH AS FAR TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AS MODEL CONSENSUS. IN ADDITION, THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS ENHANCED ODDS FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE
NORTHEAST, CONSISTENT WITH THE CONSOLIDATION. ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
ALSO FAVORED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA UNDER
NEAR- TO ABOVE-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS AND NO DISCERNIBLE TRIGGER FOR
SUBSTANTIAL PRECIPITATION IN THE DYNAMIC MODELS, ALTHOUGH TROPICAL DISTURBANCES
- WHICH ARE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST MORE THAN A WEEK IN ADVANCE - WOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES LOWER IF THEY IMPACT SOME OR ALL OF THESE AREAS. MEANWHILE, SOME
OF THE DERIVED TOOLS AND THE ANALOG PATTERN POINT TO WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE WEST COAST, BUT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR
NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES HERE, WITH NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY SURFACE FLOW
POTENTIALLY LOCKING MARINE AIR OVER THE REGION FOR AT LEAST PART OF WEEK-2. TO
THE NORTH, THE DERIVED TOOLS ARE AGAIN INCONSISTENT ACROSS ALASKA, BUT THE
ORIENTATION OF THE 500-HPA ANOMALY PATTERN SUGGESTS A WARMER THAN NORMAL PERIOD
IN A SWATH FROM THE NORTHWESTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE
STATE WHILE SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES LINGER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND. THE
CONSOLIDATED FORECAST TOOL CONTINUES TO FAVOR ELEVATED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS HAWAII.
MONSOONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AS THE
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS AND ITS AXIS SHIFTS TOWARD A FAVORABLE POSITION OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION, ALTHOUGH THIS SIGNAL IS SOMEWHAT WEAKER THAN SHOWN EARLIER
THIS WEEK. PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXCEED 40 PERCENT OVER
AND NEAR WESTERN ARIZONA, WHERE THE ECENS REFORECAST TOOL SHOWS THE GREATEST
ODDS FOR SURPLUS PRECIPITATION. MEANWHILE, NEAR- TO BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ARE ELEVATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERIOR WEST WHILE ODDS SLIGHTLY
FAVOR SURPLUS PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST NEAR THE
CANADIAN BORDER, CONSISTENT WITH THE CONSOLIDATION. NOMINALLY ENHANCED CHANCES
FOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION REMAIN OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST, AND OVER MOST OF
THE THE SOUTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THROUGH MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. CHANCES FOR SURPLUS PRECIPITATION EXCEED
40 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND THE SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC SEABOARD, WHERE SOME TOOLS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO INTERACT WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE INFLOW AND A DISSIPATING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE INCREASED ACROSS MOST
OF MAINLAND ALASKA AND THE ALEUTIANS UPSTREAM FROM A POTENT BUT SLOWLY
WEAKENING MID-LEVEL TROUGH WHILE SUBNORMAL AMOUNTS ARE MORE LIKELY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA NEAR THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS POKING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC. ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS MARGINALLY FAVORED ACROSS HAWAII,
CONSISTENT WITH THE FORECAST PATTERN FEATURING A WEAK MID-LEVEL LOW JUST
NORTHEAST OF THE STATE.
THE OFFICIAL 8-14 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF: 30% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11, 50% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN
CENTERED ON DAY 11, AND 20% OF TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON
DAY 11
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 OUT OF 5, DUE TO MODELS
CONSISTENTLY DEPICTING AN EMERGING STABLE LOW AMPLITUDE PATTERN, OFFSET BY
INCONSISTENT DERIVED TEMPERATURE TOOLS AND WEAK SIGNALS IN THE PRECIPITATION
TOOLS.
FORECASTER: RICH TINKER
NOTES:
AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OCCASIONALLY MANUAL
INTERVENTION IS NECESSARY TO ADDRESS QUALITY CONTROL AND CONSISTENCY ISSUES. IN
THESE CASES, FORECASTS ARE MANUALLY DRAWN BUT A FULL DISCUSSION IS NOT ISSUED.
THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS THE SAME AS
THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE N-NEAR NORMAL B-BELOW
THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER (ORANGE,
"A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N"). HISTORICAL AVERAGE
VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST (DASHES, "F"). LABELS ON THE
SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).
PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WETTER (GREEN,
"A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N"). HISTORICAL MEDIAN VALUES
FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST (DASHES, "INCHES"). LABELS ON THE
SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).
PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL BE A
GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY EVEN A NORMAL
(I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY SEASONS. IN SUCH CASES
A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO
PRECIPITATION.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1991-2020 BASE PERIOD MEANS AS REFERENCE IN
THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.
THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON
JULY 17.
ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19520703 - 19810703 - 20060711 - 19940719 - 20050705
ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19520702 - 19810703 - 19880723 - 20060711 - 20020623
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR JUL 16 - 20 2025
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON A N OREGON A N NRN CALIF A N
SRN CALIF N A IDAHO A A NEVADA A A
W MONTANA N A E MONTANA B A WYOMING B A
UTAH A A ARIZONA B A COLORADO B A
NEW MEXICO B A N DAKOTA B A S DAKOTA B A
NEBRASKA B A KANSAS B A OKLAHOMA B A
N TEXAS A A S TEXAS A A W TEXAS B A
MINNESOTA B A IOWA B A MISSOURI B A
ARKANSAS N A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN B A
ILLINOIS B A MISSISSIPPI A A MICHIGAN B A
INDIANA N A OHIO A A KENTUCKY A A
TENNESSEE A A ALABAMA A A NEW YORK A A
VERMONT A A NEW HAMP A A MAINE A A
MASS A A CONN A A RHODE IS A A
PENN A A NEW JERSEY A A W VIRGINIA A A
MARYLAND A A DELAWARE A A VIRGINIA A A
N CAROLINA A A S CAROLINA N A GEORGIA A A
FL PNHDL A A FL PENIN A A AK N SLOPE N A
AK ALEUTIAN N A AK WESTERN B A AK INT BSN N A
AK S INT N N AK SO COAST N N AK PNHDL N B
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR JUL 18 - 24 2025
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON A N OREGON A N NRN CALIF A N
SRN CALIF N N IDAHO A B NEVADA A N
W MONTANA A N E MONTANA A N WYOMING A N
UTAH A A ARIZONA N A COLORADO N N
NEW MEXICO N A N DAKOTA N A S DAKOTA N A
NEBRASKA N N KANSAS N N OKLAHOMA N N
N TEXAS A N S TEXAS A N W TEXAS N N
MINNESOTA B A IOWA B N MISSOURI B N
ARKANSAS N A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN B A
ILLINOIS B N MISSISSIPPI N A MICHIGAN B N
INDIANA B N OHIO B N KENTUCKY N A
TENNESSEE N A ALABAMA N A NEW YORK N N
VERMONT A N NEW HAMP A N MAINE A N
MASS A A CONN A A RHODE IS A A
PENN N A NEW JERSEY N A W VIRGINIA N A
MARYLAND N A DELAWARE N A VIRGINIA N A
N CAROLINA N A S CAROLINA N A GEORGIA N A
FL PNHDL N A FL PENIN A A AK N SLOPE A A
AK ALEUTIAN N A AK WESTERN B A AK INT BSN N A
AK S INT N N AK SO COAST N N AK PNHDL N B
LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL A - ABOVE N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW B - BELOW
THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.
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