219
FXUS01 KWBC 011941
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
341 PM EDT FRI AUG 01 2025
VALID 00Z SAT AUG 02 2025 - 00Z MON AUG 04 2025
...RISK OF SCATTERED FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES FROM THE SOUTHEAST
TO PARTS OF THE GREAT PLAINS AND ROCKIES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS
THROUGH SATURDAY...
...DANGEROUS SUMMER HEAT CONTINUES ACROSS FLORIDA TO START THE
WEEKEND BEFORE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE FIRST WEEKEND OF AUGUST WILL BE
HIGHLIGHTED BY LARGE HIGH PRESSURE AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES, MIDWEST, AND NORTHEAST, WHILE A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FOCUSES SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE GREAT PLAINS AND ROCKIES. THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST MAY BE SLOW-MOVING AND CONTAIN INTENSE RAINFALL
RATES, LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED INSTANCES OF FLASH
FLOODING. GIVEN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE MEANDERING TOWARDS THE GULF COAST,
THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO REMAIN. A SLIGHT
RISK (LEVEL 2/4) FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA, WITH THE RISK
AREA SHIFTING SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND ALABAMA ON
SATURDAY. ADDITIONALLY, A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CAN'T BE RULED
OUT AS THUNDERSTORMS PEAK IN INTENSITY EACH AFTERNOON. THIS SAME
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND EASTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
BANK UP AGAINST THE ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS THIS WEEKEND, FOCUSING
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND INTENSE
RAINFALL. BY THIS WEEKEND, THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED
FLASH FLOODING EXISTS ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE, CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA, AND CENTRAL KANSAS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO
STRENGTHEN AND TURN SEVERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BOTH
THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY, WHERE THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE WEATHER. STORMS
DEVELOPING BETWEEN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AFTER AN OPPRESSIVE HEAT WAVE GRIPPED THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S.
THIS PAST WEEK, MUCH COOLER AND EVEN BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 70S AND LOW
80S FOR THE MOST PART, AS LOWS DIP INTO THE 50S AND 60S. THIS
COOLER AIRMASS DOES COME WITH A CATCH ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES AS INCREASED LEVELS OF WILDFIRE SMOKE COVER MUCH OF THE
REGION. THUS, AIR QUALITY ALERTS SPAN FROM NEBRASKA TO MICHIGAN.
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SUMMER HEAT AND HUMIDITY DOES LINGER;
HOWEVER, ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTHWARD THIS WEEKEND. HEAT
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM NORTHERN
LOUISIANA TO SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, WITH
ELEVATED LEVELS OF HEAT CONFINED TO THE SUNSHINE STATE ON
SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE
RISE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND EXTENDING TOWARDS WEST TEXAS BY
SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH WELL INTO THE
TRIPLE DIGITS AND ARE HIGHLIGHTED BY MAJOR TO EXTREME HEATRISK. BE
SURE TO FOLLOW PROPER HEAT SAFETY ACROSS THIS REGION AND CHECK ON
VULNERABLE FAMILY, FRIENDS, AND NEIGHBORS.
SNELL
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