557  
FXUS01 KWBC 022019  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT SAT AUG 02 2025  
 
VALID 00Z SUN AUG 03 2025 - 00Z TUE AUG 05 2025  
 
...HEAVY RAIN AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT LINGER ACROSS THE  
SOUTHEAST AS A LOW PRESSURE WAVES DEVELOP ON A STALLED FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY...  
 
...ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE  
OF DAYS...  
 
...AIR QUALITY ALERTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST,  
DALLAS-FORT WORTH, AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND; FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS  
FROM THE GREAT BASIN TO THE FOUR CORNERS...  
 
...EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN  
ARIZONA...  
 
AS A LARGE DOME OF COOL AIR PROVIDES RELIEF TO THE MOST RECENT  
HEAT WAVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S., THE LEADING  
EDGE OF THE COOL AIR MASS WILL BE STALLED FROM THE GULF COAST TO  
JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS, HEAVY AT TIMES, WILL BE TRIGGERED NEAR AND TO THE  
NORTH OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS  
ESPECIALLY WHERE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ARE FORECAST TO FORM.  
AREAS ACROSS THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST TO COASTAL  
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD SEE THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF HEAVY  
RAIN WHERE A FEW INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS  
CAN BE EXPECTED. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL PERSIST WITHIN  
THIS AREA OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE THREAT  
POSSIBLY LESSENING ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL ENOUGH TO  
CHALLENGE LOW DAYTIME TEMPERATURE RECORDS ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
SOUTHEAST.  
 
MEANWHILE, ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED  
TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS DOWN TO THE  
SOUTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHEN  
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES EJECTING FROM THE ROCKIES INTERACT WITH  
THE SAME FRONT THAT BENDS BACK ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS. THE  
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND OCCASIONAL  
TORNADOES. A THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED  
WITHIN THESE AREAS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS  
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT, AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH  
TONIGHT. ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST, INTO  
THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND, POOR AIR QUALITY DUE TO  
SMOKE ARRIVING FROM CANADIAN WILDFIRES HAS CONTINUED TO PROMPT AIR  
QUALITY ALERTS FOR THESE AREAS.  
 
FOR THE WESTERN U.S., SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ARE FORECAST TO BECOME  
MORE WIDESPREAD BY SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT DEVELOPS  
AND PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. MEANWHILE, EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS  
ARE IN EFFECT FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES EXCEEDING 110 DEGREES ACROSS  
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN ARIZONA. OVER THE GREAT BASIN TO  
THE FOUR CORNERS, ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER IS  
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND PRIOR TO THE  
ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT LATER ON MONDAY.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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