608  
FXUS01 KWBC 042006  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT MON AUG 04 2025  
 
VALID 00Z TUE AUG 05 2025 - 00Z THU AUG 07 2025  
 
...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS INTERIOR  
SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH A MARGINAL RISK SPREADING NORTH  
INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
...ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY, REACHING INTO THE  
UPPER MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
...AIR QUALITY ALERTS FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE GREAT LAKES  
AND INTO MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST...  
 
...EXTREME HEAT WATCHES AND EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS ACROSS THE  
DESERT SOUTHWEST AND INTO ARIZONA...  
 
A LARGE DOME OF COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE COOLER THAN  
NORMAL CONDITIONS FOR EARLY AUGUST FROM THE GREAT PLAINS TO A GOOD  
PORTION OF THE EASTERN U.S. ESPECIALLY THE INTERIOR SOUTHEAST  
THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY OF THIS  
COOL DOME WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO  
HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS, LEADING TO A SLIGHT RISK OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE NORTHWARD INTO THE  
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST. A SLOW-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE  
EAST-CENTRAL U.S. WILL TEND TO LIFT THE RAIN SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD  
UP INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION BY WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED HEAVY  
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAISE A  
MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE UP  
INTO THE SOUTHERN VIRGINIA ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
MEANWHILE, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR PACIFIC  
NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ARE BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD  
AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE PACIFIC PUSHES ONSHORE. A ROUND  
OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE  
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. BY  
TUESDAY, A LOW PRESSURE WAVE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THIS WAVE WILL TRIGGER ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF  
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY,  
REACHING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY NEAR AND AHEAD OF A  
WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD.  
 
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN U.S., EXTREME HEAT WATCHES AND  
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES EXCEEDING 110  
DEGREES ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA. OVER  
THE GREAT BASIN TO THE FOUR CORNERS, ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER DANGER IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH  
THE ARRIVAL OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WHICH IS FORECAST TO  
STALL ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE  
GREAT LAKES AS WELL AS MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST, SMOKE FROM CANADIAN  
WILDFIRES HAS CONTINUED TO PROMPT AIR QUALITY ALERTS, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE MID AND UPPER 80S THROUGH THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR INFORMATION ON STAYING COOL AND SAFE,  
VISIT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/HEAT. AS TEMPERATURES RISE, LIMIT  
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY, STAY HYDRATED, AND ENSURE ACCESS TO  
AIR-CONDITIONING AND OTHER COOLING AREAS.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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