289
FXUS01 KWBC 142003
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
402 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
VALID 00Z FRI AUG 15 2025 - 00Z SUN AUG 17 2025
...ROUNDS OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE EASTERN U.S. AND SOUTHERN U.S.
THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH CHANCES OF FLASH FLOODING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...
...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS BRINGS RISK FOR FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...
...A COUPLE OF DAYS OF HEAT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS, AND MAJOR
TO LOCALLY EXTREME HEATRISK IS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN TO CENTRAL
FLORIDA...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD TOWARDS INTERIOR MID-ATLANTIC OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, PROMOTING CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS, EASTERN
U.S. AND SOUTHERN U.S. WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND WARM AIR IN
THE MID-LEVELS, EXPECT CHANCES FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. AREAS ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST AND
UPPER MIDWEST HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR TODAY INTO FRIDAY. THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE PROLONG CHANCES FOR SHOWERS INTO THE
WEEKEND, ALLOWING FOR THE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE
FLOODING TO LINGER.
A UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GREAT BASIN BRINGING CHANCES FOR SOME ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS,
STRONG WINDS, AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS WILL CREATE ELEVATED RISK
FOR FIRE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN, NORTHERN ROCKIES,
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND SIERRA NEVADA TODAY INTO FRIDAY.
WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO PUSH TOWARDS THE MIDWEST AND CENTRAL
U.S. INTO PARTS OF EASTERN U.S. THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AS THE COLD
FRONT BRINGS COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AND GREAT
BASIN GOING INTO THE WEEKEND. ACROSS PARTS OF FLORIDA, A SLIGHT
INCREASE OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS ENOUGH TO RAISE HEATRISK INTO
MAJOR AND LOCALLY EXTREME LEVELS THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS THE BERMUDA HIGH BUILDS WESTWARD INTO THE SUNSHINE STATE.
OUDIT/KONG
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