868
FXUS01 KWBC 101856
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
255 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2025
VALID 00Z THU SEP 11 2025 - 00Z SAT SEP 13 2025
...A WET WEATHER PATTERN PERSISTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE, WHILE THE
REMAINDER OF THE CONUS TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES IS DRY...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
ROCKIES AND OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND THE
GREAT BASIN, WHILE LATE SEASON MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
BUILD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
THERE IS NO LET UP EXPECTED TO THE RECENT WET WEATHER PATTERN THAT
HAS BEEN PLAGUING THE SOUTHERN HALF OF FLORIDA RECENTLY. OVER
THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS, MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS SEEN
MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE 5 TO 10+ INCH RANGE.
WHILE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL SEE A BREAK IN THE WET
PATTERN, THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA WILL SEE ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THIS FRONT, SUPPORTING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, PRIMARILY IN THE URBAN CORRIDOR
OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.
WHILE SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS WET OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, THE
OPPOSITE IS ON TAP FOR ALL OTHER AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES
WHERE NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MUCH
OF THIS AREA FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, EASTWARD HAS SEEN BELOW
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS. SUBSEQUENTLY
DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, EASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY, OHIO
VALLEY, CENTRAL APPALACHIANS, MID-ATLANTIC AND INTO NEW ENGLAND.
SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS LARGE
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN U.S. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME MINOR
RELIEF OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROF
MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE WEST. ABOVE AVERAGE LEVELS OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STRONG TROF WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL
FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN,
SOUTHWARD THROUGH ALL OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST. IN
ADDITION TO THE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL, THERE WILL ALSO BE
THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING. THE STRONG UPPER TROF WILL ALSO
BE BRINGING MUCH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS
ACROSS CALIFORNIA INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN. MEANWHILE, LATE
SEASON, MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD
ACROSS ALL OF THE GREAT PLAINS, INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WHILE HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS
THESE AREAS, THERE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ANY WIDESPREAD RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES.
ORAVEC
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