416
FXUS01 KWBC 281839
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
238 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2025
VALID 00Z MON SEP 29 2025 - 00Z WED OCT 01 2025
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON SUNDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...
A WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES, STREAMING MOISTURE OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN ROCKIES, AND DISSIPATES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MOISTURE AND UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL AID IN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE REGION. THEREFORE, THE
WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND
LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE. THE RAIN ENDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE, TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL POOL ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST ON SUNDAY EVENING. OVERNIGHT SUNDAY,
MOISTURE FLOW INCREASES OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST, PRODUCING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND
LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
THEN MOVE EASTWARD BY TUESDAY, MOVING AWAY FROM THE U.S. COAST.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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