351
FXUS01 KWBC 201613
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1213 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2025
VALID 00Z TUE OCT 21 2025 - 00Z THU OCT 23 2025
...LAKE EFFECT THUNDERSTORM BANDS POSSIBLE NEAR LAKE ERIE ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
...LATE OCTOBER WARMTH CROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY HIGHS
CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 80S AND 90S...
THE GENERAL FLOW PATTERN FEATURES AMPLIFYING/STRENGTHENING TROUGHS
NEAR THE WEST AND EAST COASTS WITH BUILDING RIDGING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES NORTHWARD INTO ALBERTA. WITH DOWNSLOPE
FLOW OFF THE ROCKIES FAVORED IN THIS FLOW PATTERN, THE PATTERN
SHOULD BE GENERALLY.
COOLNESS AND BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE DEEP LAYER CYCLONE
IN SOUTHEAST CANADA LEAD TO PERSISTENT LAKE ENHANCED/LAKE EFFECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOST INTENSE NEAR AND DOWNWIND OF LAKE
ERIE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHILE VARIOUS DISTURBANCES/FRONTS
HELPING TO REINFORCE THE EASTERN TROUGH KEEP THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND SHOWERY/UNSETTLED INTO
WEDNESDAY.
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS, DUE TO INCREASING RIDGING/WARMTH,
WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, WITH 90S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
TEXAS CHALLENGING DAILY RECORD HIGHS. DUE TO BREEZY AND DRY
CONDITIONS, THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY. DESPITE INCREASING WINDS,
INCREASED MOISTURE FROM THE GULF SHOULD LIMIT FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST, RAIN DOESN'T ENTER THE PICTURE UNTIL AN INCOMING,
THOUGH WEAKENING, COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THEIR VICINITY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.
ROTH
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HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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