529
FXUS01 KWBC 231953
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
352 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2025
VALID 00Z FRI OCT 24 2025 - 00Z SUN OCT 26 2025
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND WESTERN
GULF COAST ON SATURDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY....
...LIGHT SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE CASCADES, SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS, AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES FROM THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...
A WEAK FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOISTURE COMING
NORTHWARD OFF THE GULF WILL AID IN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND
A FEW TORNADOES. FURTHER, SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES OVERNIGHT THURSDAY.
SIMILARLY, CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON
FRIDAY AS SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. THEREFORE, THE
SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A
FEW TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY
RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH
URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING THE
MOST VULNERABLE.
MOREOVER, ON SATURDAY, THE FRONT AND THE POOLING MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THEREFORE,
THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY ON SATURDAY. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
FURTHER, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CREATE HEAVY RAIN.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL
CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS,
ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING THE MOST
VULNERABLE.
MEANWHILE, A FRONT MOVES ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY, TRAVELING TO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY
SATURDAY EVENING. LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST ON FRIDAY AND EXPAND INLAND TO THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION BY SATURDAY AND INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA. OVERNIGHT FRIDAY, SNOW DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES AND SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS, CONTINUING INTO
SATURDAY EVENING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE
NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY, CONTINUING THE RAIN.
ELSEWHERE, AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO
THE NORTHEAST WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER THE
GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
ZIEGENFELDER
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HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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