445  
FXUS01 KWBC 312002  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
401 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2025  
 
VALID 00Z SAT NOV 01 2025 - 00Z MON NOV 03 2025  
 
 
...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND  
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS, BRINGING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE  
MIDWEST ON SATURDAY AND ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO TEXAS ON  
SUNDAY...  
   
..RAIN TO PERSIST OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FOR THE WEEKEND  
 
...ABOVE AVERAGE WARMTH AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BUILD IN ACROSS  
THE WEST AS RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION...  
 
AN INTENSE CYCLONE APPROACHING OCTOBER LOW PRESSURE RECORDS FOR  
NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NEW ENGLAND REGION  
TODAY. HOWEVER, THE STORM SYSTEM MAY YET BRING SOME TRICKS FOR  
THOSE ON HALLOWEEN NIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL BE HOWLING LIKE A  
WEREWOLF ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST, WITH GUSTS IN THE 40-50 MPH  
RANGE POSSIBLE AND REACHING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. FURTHERMORE,  
IT WILL BE A FRIGHTENING CHILLY NIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AS COLD  
AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES TO FUNNEL DOWN BEHIND THE FRONT. LOW  
TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 30S WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE  
EAST COAST AND AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN FLORIDA. FREEZE WARNINGS  
AND FROST ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS AREAS IN THE SOUTH. LOW  
TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODIFY SLIGHTLY FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS  
ACROSS THE EAST, BUT STAYING SEASONABLY COOL IN THE LOW 40S AND  
SOME UPPER 30S. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE  
WITH THE AFTERNOON MERCURY HITTING THE 50S AND 60S. AS FOR  
PRECIPITATION, A WEAK COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BRING CHANCES FOR RAIN  
ACROSS THE MIDWEST TOMORROW AND THEN ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY  
INTO THE CAROLINAS ON SUNDAY.  
 
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL SEE THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION ACROSS  
THE COUNTRY AS AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AND COLD FRONT MOVE ASHORE THE  
WASHINGTON AND OREGON COASTLINES TONIGHT. THE COASTAL ZONES MAY  
SEE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 2-3 INCH RANGE AND AS MUCH AS  
3-5 INCHES IN THE CASCADES AND OLYMPIC MOUNTAIN RANGES, PROMPTING  
AN ISOLATED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND PERHAPS SOME RIVER  
FLOODING. ADDITIONALLY, GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE HAZARDS  
WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. ELEVATION SNOW IN THE CASCADES IS ALSO  
LIKELY INTO SATURDAY. THE LOCAL OFFICES DO NOT HAVE WATCH AND  
WARNING HAZARDS AS OF THIS AFTERNOON. A REINFORCING DISTURBANCE  
WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS INTO SUNDAY AND EVENTUALLY PUSH  
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE NORTHWEST.  
 
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST SHOULD  
REMAIN SEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S  
COMMONPLACE. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA MAY APPROACH THE 80S  
AND LOW 90S. ON SUNDAY, THE WARMTH WILL SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS THE  
ROCKIES AND INTO THE DAKOTAS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO HIT  
THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE, WHICH IS ABOUT 10-15 DEGREES  
ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE  
LIKELY TO STILL DROP INTO THE 30S IN THE MOUNTAINS, BUT THE  
VALLEYS MAY HAVE MORNING TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S, ALSO WELL ABOVE  
AVERAGE FOR EARLY NOVEMBER.  
 
A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS THE TEXAS GULF COAST ON  
SATURDAY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME STRONG  
THUNDERSTORMS AS SOME INSTABILITY DEVELOPS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE  
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A MARGINAL RISK FOR THE POTENTIAL OF  
LARGE HAIL WITH SUPERCELLS THAT MAY DEVELOP.  
 
LAST BUT NOT LEAST, FOR THOSE WHO CELEBRATE, HAPPY HALLOWEEN !  
 
WILDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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