807
FXUS01 KWBC 031958
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
251 PM EST MON NOV 03 2025
VALID 00Z TUE NOV 04 2025 - 00Z THU NOV 06 2025
...UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS TO THE NORTHWEST & NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA, WITH AN INCREASING THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN FOR BOTH
AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
...STRONG WINDS FOR SOUTHWEST OREGON THIS EVENING & LATER ON FOR
COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...
INCREASINGLY ZONAL, OR WEST-TO-EAST, FLOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
LOWER 48 OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL BROADEN THE FOOTPRINT
OF ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH TIME ACROSS THE
COUNTRY. THIS ALSO FAVORS WETNESS/PERIODIC STORMINESS FOR THE
NORTHWEST/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA DUE TO ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE PACIFIC
AND DRYNESS DUE TO DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS/PLAINS.
ANY PRECIPITATION FOR THE GREAT LAKES AND EAST SHOULD BE MODEST IN
AMOUNTS.
THE WETNESS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WILL BE FOSTERED BY THE INCURSION
OF A LOW PRESSURE INTO THE OREGON COAST THIS EVENING, WHICH IS A
STRONG ENOUGH SYSTEM TO PROMPT HIGH WIND WARNINGS FOR COASTAL
OREGON THIS EVENING. EVEN THOUGH THE SURFACE LOW FADES, ITS
TRAILING FRONT LINGERS/WAVERS NEAR THE COAST FROM NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA NORTHWARD, KEEPING RAIN IN THE FORECAST. LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY, A STRONG CYCLONE IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
REINFORCES THE EXISTING FRONT AND CAUSES BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS TO RENEW FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA NORTHWARD AND BRINGS
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED TO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN THE HIGH PLAINS PROMISES BREEZY AND DRY
CONDITIONS EARLY THIS WEEK. ON TUESDAY, PORTIONS OF THE HIGH
PLAINS CONTINUE HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR WILDFIRE RISK DUE TO THE
CONTINUED DRY AIR MASS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
NORTHWEST TEXAS DUE TO THE COMPRESSIONAL HEATING AFFORDED BY THE
DOWNSLOPE FLOW SOUTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
SKIRMISHES OF SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH A COUPLE FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES TONIGHT, LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES/NEW YORK. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COASTS WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING FROM
OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. ITS
MOISTURE WILL BE TAPPED BY A FRONT MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT
LAKES, SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. HIGHER
ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE NORTHERN
APPALACHIANS TUESDAY MORNING.
KEBEDE/ROTH
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