367
FXUS01 KWBC 090730
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
230 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2025
VALID 12Z SUN NOV 09 2025 - 12Z TUE NOV 11 2025
...FRIGID AIRMASS DESCENDS INTO CENTRAL U.S. THIS WEEKEND,
SPREADING INTO THE EAST ON MONDAY WHILE THE WEST WARMS UP...
...SNOWY, VERY COLD AND WINDY FROM NORTHERN PLAINS TO GREAT LAKES
THIS WEEKEND...
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IN SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY
TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WHILE RIDGING IN THE WEST DEGRADES BENEATH THE
ARRIVAL OF A TRANSIENT TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE EXITING INTO SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA ON TUESDAY. TODAY, MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS
EXPECTED DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES; BEGINNING OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES TODAY THEN MIGRATING TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES, OHIO VALLEY
AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY THIS EVENING. THE CHICAGO METRO AREA
COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN 6-12 INCHES OF SNOW WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE, WHILE MARQUETTE COULD SEE OVER A FOOT OF SNOW BY
TUESDAY MORNING.
STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON, DUE TO A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
CAUSED BY CONVERGENCE OF THE DIGGING TROUGH IN THE EAST AND THE
APPROACHING RIDGE FROM THE WEST. SCATTERED TO ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO
MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST TODAY. RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN END
OVER NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL EXPAND FROM THE
GREAT PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY INTO THE EAST COAST ON
MONDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS LIKELY IN THE 20S AND 30S THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT PROMPTED FREEZE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FROM PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE
SOUTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC.
IN THE WEST, AN UPPER RIDGE WILL GENERATE ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK. A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT, BENEATH A
PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH, WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS TO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST TONIGHT. DRY AND WINDY WEATHER AT THE BASE OF THE
DIGGING UPPER TROUGH WILL GENERATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHERN TO SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY. RED FLAG
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.
KEBEDE
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page