162  
FXUS01 KWBC 152005  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
304 PM EST MON DEC 15 2025  
 
VALID 00Z TUE DEC 16 2025 - 00Z THU DEC 18 2025  
 
...HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE LAKES ERIE/ONTARIO COASTLINE ON  
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON MONDAY...  
   
..HEAVY SNOW FOR THE CASCADES AND NORTHERN ROCKIES  
 
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY WILL  
SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY.  
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE LIGHT  
TO MODERATE SNOW DOWNWIND FROM LAKES ERIE/ONTARIO FROM MONDAY  
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SEE THE WPC HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION FOR  
DETAILS AND AMOUNTS.  
 
MEANWHILE, A FRONT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL MOVE EASTWARD  
TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND DISSIPATE BY TUESDAY EVENING. ONSHORE  
FLOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN MONDAY  
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT  
RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST  
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE  
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,  
SMALL STREAMS, AND BURN SCARS BEING THE MOST VULNERABLE. A SECOND  
FRONT MOVES OVER THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT TUESDAY, MOVING TO THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AFTER THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES OVER THE AREA,  
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE CASCADES  
AND NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
MOREOVER, AS THE SECOND FRONT MOVES ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS, RAIN  
WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LASTLY, MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL START  
TO STREAM NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, PRODUCING SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST OVERNIGHT  
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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