084
FXUS01 KWBC 260757
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
255 AM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
VALID 12Z FRI DEC 26 2025 - 12Z SUN DEC 28 2025
...ONE MORE WET DAY TODAY ACROSS CALIFORNIA BEFORE CONDITIONS
IMPROVE FOR THE WEEKEND...
...ACCUMULATING ICE FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE GREAT LAKES AND
INTO PENNSYLVANIA TODAY BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
TONIGHT; MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...
...RECORD WARMTH HANGS AROUND FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY...
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF DELUGE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL, CALIFORNIA CAN
EXPECT TO DRY OUT THIS WEEKEND AS THE LAST OF A SERIES OF
ENERGETIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS IS FORECAST TO MOVE PASS THE
REGION. IN THE SHORT-TERM HOWEVER, MORE BANDS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN AHEAD OF THIS FINAL SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO
CALIFORNIA EARLY THIS MORNING. A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, ALONG WITH STRONG
WINDS AND SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.
PLEASE LISTEN TO EMERGENCY OFFICIALS, STAY TUNED TO LOCAL
WARNINGS, AND HAVE A SAFE HOLIDAY. IN ADDITION, MORE HEAVY SNOW
IS EXPECTED FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE SIERRA NEVADA BEFORE THE
SNOW TAPERS OFF TONIGHT.
THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL SEE A SWATH OF SNOW AND ICE BLOSSOMING THIS
MORNING AHEAD OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM THAT IS PUSHING AGAINST A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN EASTERN CANADA FEEDING THE COLD AIR. LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES FROM
THIS SYSTEM WHILE AREAS FROM LOWER MICHIGAN TO PENNSYLVANIA CAN
EXPECT TO RECEIVE UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCHES OF FREEZING RAIN
TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS INCLUDES
MAJOR URBAN AREAS OF BALTIMORE AND PHILADELPHIA. FOR AREAS
FARTHER NORTH FROM UPSTATE NEW YORK TO THE TRI-STATE AREA
INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND, 4-8 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS
FORECAST FOR LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. ROAD CONDITIONS WILL
BE TREACHEROUS FOR THOSE TRAVELING BACK FROM THE HOLIDAY. SEE THE
WPC KEY MESSAGE ON THE "POST-CHRISTMAS WINTER STORM" FOR MORE
DETAILS. BY SATURDAY, THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
WILL CLEAR OUT AS THE SYSTEM RACES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC, BUT
WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE GUSTY BEFORE DIMINISHING SATURDAY NIGHT.
MEANWHILE, ANOMALOUS WARMTH WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE MID-SECTION
OF THE COUNTRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO THE LOW 80S
ARE PREDICTED FROM TEXAS TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY AND INTO
THE WEEKEND AND AS FAR EAST AS THE CAROLINAS ON SATURDAY. MANY
CITIES COULD BREAK OR NEAR RECORD WARM HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY,
WITH SOME RECORDS DATING AS FAR BACK AS THE 1880S. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE WARM IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. THIS
DECEMBER SOUPY AIRMASS WILL BRING CHANCES FOR FOG EACH DAY ALONG
THE GULF COAST, SOME WHICH MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE AND BRING LOW
VISIBILITY.
OTHER WEATHER IN THE COUNTRY WORTH MONITORING WILL BE THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AS THE WEST COAST TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT
MOVE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. HIGH ELEVATION SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY IN
THE VALLEYS ON SATURDAY FOR THE AREA. TOWARD THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD ON SUNDAY, AN OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR WILL BEGIN TO
FUNNEL DOWN INTO THE U.S. BEHIND AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ALONG THE ARCTIC FRONT SURGING
SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA. BY SUNDAY MORNING, TEMPERATURES NEAR THE
CANADIAN BORDER IN THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS COULD DIP BELOW ZERO.
MEANWHILE, FRIGID WIND CHILLS UNDER VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE
SURGING DOWN TOWARD THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
KONG/WILDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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