608  
FXUS01 KWBC 300806  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
300 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2025  
 
VALID 12Z TUE DEC 30 2025 - 12Z THU JAN 01 2026  
 
...HEAVY LAKE-EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS THE GREAT  
LAKES AS A BIG CYCLONE PIVOTS AWAY INTO EASTERN CANADA...  
 
...ARCTIC AIR WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY  
INCLUDING FLORIDA FOLLOWED BY A QUICK WARM-UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN  
AND CENTRAL PLAINS AMID A MILD AND TRANQUIL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...  
 
...RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A ANOMALOUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE  
TROPICAL LATITUDES IS FORECAST TO BRING THE THREAT OF FLASH  
FLOODING FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON NEW YEAR'S EVE INTO NEW YEAR'S  
DAY...  
 
WITH THE GRADUAL DEPARTURE OF AN INTENSE CYCLONE THAT HAS RECENTLY  
IMPACTED PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES WITH  
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS, MUCH OF THE U.S. MAINLAND WILL ENTER A PERIOD  
OF RELATIVE TRANQUIL WEATHER. NEVERTHELESS, THE SURGE OF ARCTIC  
AIR BEHIND THE INTENSE CYCLONE WILL INVADE MUCH OF THE EASTERN  
TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY. IN THE PROCESS, THE LAKE-EFFECT "SNOW  
MACHINE" WILL REMAIN ACTIVE DOWNWIND FROM THE GREAT LAKES, AND  
WILL BE REINFORCED WITH THE ARRIVAL OF AN ALBERTA CLIPPER LATER  
TODAY. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE DOWNWIND OF  
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 FEET WITH LOCALLY  
3+ FEET POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THROUGH THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. ADJACENT AREAS ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE  
FAR NORTHERN PLAINS AS WELL AS INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND CAN ALSO  
EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE CLIPPER, ALTHOUGH WINTER WEATHER  
IMPACTS APPEAR TO BE MINOR. MEANWHILE, BLUSTERY WINDS TODAY WILL  
ADD TO THE ARCTIC CHILL ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S., WITH LOW  
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE FREEZING MARK AS FAR SOUTH AS THE  
FLORIDA PANHANDLE EARLY THIS MORNING, PROMPTING THE ISSUANCE OF  
FREEZE WARNINGS, WATCHES, AND COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES ACROSS THE  
REGION. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING, FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST  
TO REACH EVEN FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE SUBURBS OF TAMPA, FLORIDA  
BEFORE A GRADUAL MODERATING TREND SETS IN ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S.  
MEANWHILE, SNOW SHOWERS COULD BE AS FAR SOUTH AS THE PANHANDLES OF  
MARYLAND AND WEST VIRGINIA THIS MORNING AS GENERAL LIGHT SNOW  
EXITS MAINE.  
 
TRANQUIL WEATHER AND MILDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL  
ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A  
STABLE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AT ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THE  
MILDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY SPILL INTO THE  
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY BEHIND A WARM FRONT WITH THE  
AFOREMENTIONED ALBERTA CLIPPER APPROACHING THE U.S.-CANADIAN  
BORDER. BY WEDNESDAY, THE MILD AIR WILL BE SHOVED FARTHER SOUTH  
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR  
REACHES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE  
CLIPPER. A SWATH OF LIGHT SNOW IS FORECAST TO SPREAD INTO THE  
OHIO VALLEY ON NEW YEAR'S EVE, REACHING INTO THE WESTERN SLOPES OF  
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AT THE DAWN OF THE NEW YEAR!  
 
MEANWHILE, RAIN AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED  
IN THE UNUSUALLY SOUTHERN LATITUDES OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC IS  
LURKING JUST OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THIS  
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO HEAD NORTH AND EDGE TOWARD CALIFORNIA  
THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE RAIN IS FORECAST TO REACH  
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON NEW YEAR'S EVE AND CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH  
THROUGH MUCH OF CALIFORNIA, THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, REACHING INTO  
GREAT BASIN AND THE FOUR CORNERS FROM NEW YEAR'S EVE TO NEW YEAR'S  
DAY. IT APPEARS THAT HEAVY RAIN COULD BEGIN IMPACTING COASTAL  
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING LOS ANGELES EARLY ON NEW YEAR'S DAY  
ALONG WITH A LOOMING THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE TRIPLE-POINT  
FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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