911
FXUS01 KWBC 082018
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
317 PM EST THU JAN 08 2026
VALID 00Z FRI JAN 09 2026 - 00Z SUN JAN 11 2026
...HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN AND
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
...FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AND THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM PARTS OF THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY MORNING...
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE EAST COAST BY SATURDAY. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRIGGER HEAVY SNOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF RAIN/FREEZING RAIN
WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES.
MOREOVER, RAIN WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AS THE RAIN AREA
MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST, POCKETS OF RAIN/FREEZING RAIN WILL
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. FURTHER, SATURDAY
EVENING INTO SUNDAY, POCKETS OF RAIN/FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP
OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ON FRIDAY, MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL STREAM NORTHWARD OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. HEAVY RAIN
WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE REGION.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING
AREAS BEING THE MOST VULNERABLE.
IN ADDITION, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
MEANWHILE, A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL TRIGGER
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. FURTHERMORE, ONSHORE FLOW OFF THE PACIFIC WILL PRODUCE
COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
LASTLY, ANOTHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD
INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, CREATING LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT
LAKES.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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