470
FXUS01 KWBC 091914
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
213 PM EST FRI JAN 09 2026
VALID 00Z SAT JAN 10 2026 - 00Z MON JAN 12 2026
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM PARTS OF
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND OVER THE
SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY...
...THERE IS A 0.10 INCHES OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY...
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE NORTHEAST COAST BY EARLY
SATURDAY, WHILE A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRIGGER RAIN FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE FIRST WAVE. THE
SECOND WAVE WILL PRODUCE SNOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY AND
RAIN/FREEZING RAIN OVER THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY EVENING,
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW BY SUNDAY MORNING. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW WILL
LINGER DOWNWIND FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY.
MOREOVER, RAIN WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. HEAVY RAIN
WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THEREFORE, THE WPC
HAS ISSUED A MODERATE RISK (LEVEL 3/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN
WILL CREATE NUMEROUS AREAS WHERE FLASH FLOODING EVENTS ARE
POSSIBLE, AND MANY STREAMS MAY FLOOD, POTENTIALLY AFFECTING LARGER
RIVERS.
IN ADDITION, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
ON SATURDAY, THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DIMINISHES OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY, WHILE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM
THE MID-ATLANTIC TO THE SOUTHEAST.
MEANWHILE, ONSHORE FLOW OFF THE PACIFIC WILL PRODUCE COASTAL RAIN
AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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