316
FXUS01 KWBC 101915
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
214 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2026
VALID 00Z SUN JAN 11 2026 - 00Z TUE JAN 13 2026
...HEAVY SNOW OVER THE UP OF MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LP OF
MICHIGAN...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY...
...THERE ARE POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEAST
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST WILL MOVE EASTWARD OFF MOST OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM WILL TRIGGER RAIN FROM THE NORTHEAST
TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST ON SATURDAY. A SECONDARY FRONT EXTENDING
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHWARD TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BEFORE DISSIPATING BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. FURTHERMORE, LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL
HELP PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE UPPER PENINSULA AND THE
NORTHERN LOWER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN. LAKE-EFFECT/ENHANCED SNOW
WILL DEVELOP DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
ADDITIONALLY, SNOW WILL START TO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT SATURDAY. ALONG THE RAIN/SNOW LINE, POCKETS
OF RAIN/FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST.
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS
OF THE SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WIND GUSTS, A FEW TORNADOES, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF HAIL. AS THE
FRONT MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ENDS.
MEANWHILE, WEAK ONSHORE FLOW OFF THE PACIFIC WILL PRODUCE COASTAL
RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
AND THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
LASTLY, UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSES WILL TRIGGER LIGHT RAIN OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS ON MONDAY.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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