861
FXUS01 KWBC 141800
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1259 PM EST WED JAN 14 2026
VALID 00Z THU JAN 15 2026 - 00Z SAT JAN 17 2026
...PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND
INTERIOR NORTHEAST/APPALACHIANS...
...VERY GUSTY WINDS FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS THURSDAY-FRIDAY...
...CONDITIONS REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE AND CHILLY FOR MUCH OF THE
EASTERN U.S. WHILE THE WEST SEES ABOVE AVERAGE, MILD
TEMPERATURES...
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR FAVORABLE DOWNWIND LOCATIONS OF THE
GREAT LAKES AS WELL AS THROUGHOUT PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST AND WESTERN/UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE APPALACHIANS AS A COLD
FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. FORECAST TOTALS ARE
GENERALLY IN THE 2-4" RANGE WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS FOR LAKE-ENHANCED
SNOWS. A BROAD AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS IS ALSO EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT FOR THE EAST COAST THIS EVENING, THOUGH AMOUNTS SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT. PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC MAY SEE A
BRIEF TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AND INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, THOUGH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END FOR MOST LOCATIONS
INTO THURSDAY EXCEPT FOR ALONG THE LAKES WHERE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER WITH POST-FRONTAL WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. THEN, TO THE
NORTHWEST, A CLIPPER-LIKE SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD FROM
SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST AND
GREAT LAKES THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH A BROAD AREA OF SNOW SHOWERS
EXPECTED. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF
THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT THURSDAY BEFORE SOME
HEAVIER SNOWS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES WITH
LAKE-ENHANCED SHOWERS, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE NORTHERN UP/WESTERN
LP OF MICHIGAN. THE DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTHWARD
WILL ALSO HELP TO FUNNEL NORTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE ROCKIES THROUGH
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, WITH STRONG
GUSTS OF 40-60 MPH EXPECTED.
THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL BRING A RETURN TO BELOW AVERAGE,
CHILLIER TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. ON THURSDAY
FOLLOWING A MILDER WEDNESDAY. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
RANGE IN THE 20S AND 30S FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHEAST AND
30S AND 40S FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EAST THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST, INCLUDING FOR MANY ALONG THE GULF COAST. MORNING LOWS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST LOCATIONS,
INCLUDING INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA WHERE FREEZE WARNINGS
ARE IN PLACE FOR POTENTIAL DAMAGE TO CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE
VEGETATION. A BRIEF WARM-UP IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING SYSTEM FRIDAY. MEANWHILE,
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN U.S. WILL SEE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WEST COAST AS A STRONG
UPPER-RIDGE REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVERHEAD. HIGHS THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WILL BE IN THE 50S FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR WEST/PACIFIC
NORTHWEST, 60S AND 70S IN CALIFORNIA, AND 70S AND 80S FOR THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. MUCH OF THE PLAINS WILL SEE ABOVE AVERAGE, MILD
CONDITIONS THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S FOR THE NORTHERN
PLAINS, 50S AND 60S FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS, AND 60S AND 70S FOR
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A COUPLE COLD FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
GREAT LAKES SYSTEM WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD ON FRIDAY AND BRING MORE
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ABOUT 15-20 DEGREES COOLER.
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