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FXUS06 KWBC 142002
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK, MD
300 PM EST WED JANUARY 14 2026
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 20 - 24 2026
THE 0Z ECMWF, GEFS, AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEANS CONTINUE TO PREDICT A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED CIRCULATION PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA AND SURROUNDING REGIONS DURING
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PERIOD. AN AMPLIFIED MEAN 500-HPA RIDGE IS MAINTAINED IN THE
CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC, WITH AN AXIS STRETCHING NORTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN
ALASKA. MEAN HEIGHT ANOMALIES PEAKING BETWEEN +30 AND +33 DM ALONG THE WESTERN
TIER OF MAINLAND ALASKA, DEMONSTRATING A MANUAL BLEND WITH A SLIGHTLY LOWER
PEAK ANOMALY THAN YESTERDAY, BUT WHICH IS MORE ELONGATED NORTH-SOUTH THROUGH
WESTERN ALASKA AND INTO THE POLAR REGIONS. DOWNSTREAM, A FAIRLY AMPLIFIED MEAN
MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS AGAIN FORECAST WITH AN AXIS FROM CENTRAL CANADA THROUGH THE
EASTERN CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES (CONUS).
HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PROGRESSIVELY INCREASE THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN CONUS WHILE MID-LEVEL TROUGHING BEGINS TO DIG
INTO THE WESTERN CONUS FROM CENTRAL CANADA, DOWNSTREAM FROM THE STRONG
MID-LEVEL RIDGE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD, 500-HPA HEIGHTS RISE ABOVE NORMAL
OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN CONUS, POSSIBLY AS FAR NORTH AS THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION. FARTHER NORTH, MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS ALSO INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY, CONFINING SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS TO THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS RESULTS
IN A LESS-MERIDIONAL MID-LEVEL TROUGH FROM SOUTHEASTERN CANADA INTO THE
ADJACENT CONUS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD, WITH LESS-AMPLIFIED MID-LEVEL FLOW
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. MEANWHILE, ABOVE-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS
ARE DISLODGED FROM THE WESTERN CONUS AS SUBNORMAL HEIGHTS ACROSS INTERIOR
CANADA ARE FORCED TO DIG INTO THE WESTERN CONUS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE STRONG
500-HPA RIDGE OVER ALASKA. THIS RESULTS IN A POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH WITH AN
AXIS FROM NEAR CENTRAL CANADA SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS, WITH
500-HPA HEIGHTS NEAR OR MORE THAN 12 DM BELOW NORMAL OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
THIS PATTERN EVOLUTION IS GENERALLY CONSISTENT ACROSS THE ENSEMBLE MEANS AND
THE DETERMINISTIC EUROPEAN (ECMWF) MODEL. TODAY, THE CANADIAN ENSEMBLE (CMCE)
MEAN IS STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY WITH THE PACIFIC-ALASKA 500-HPA RIDGE, BUT THE
GEFS MEAN IS A BIT WEAKER THAN YESTERDAY, AND WEAKER THAN BOTH THE CMCE MEAN
AND EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE (ECENS) MEANS, WHICH ARE FAVORED IN THIS FORECAST. THE
ECMWF MAINTAINS A BIT MORE AMPLITUDE, AND FEATURES LARGER 500-HPA HEIGHT SWINGS
THAN THE ENSEMBLE MEANS, BUT THE LOCATIONS AND RELATIVE STRENGTHS OF THE
PRIMARY FEATURES IN THE 500-HPA PATTERN ARE SIMILAR.
ACROSS THE CONUS, POSITIVE 500-HPA HEIGHT ANOMALIES FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST OF THE WESTERN THROUGH SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS. THE
ENSEMBLE REFORECASTS AND THE CONSOLIDATION PUSH INCREASED ODDS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES NORTHWARD TO THE CANADIAN BORDER, BUT THE RAW AND BIAS-CORRECTED
MODEL OUTPUT IS COOLER ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS IS IN
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH ANALOGS, TELECONNECTIONS, AND THE EVOLVING 500-HPA
PATTERN, AND IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL OUTLOOK. FARTHER EAST, THE CMCE
REFORECAST SHOWS TEMPERATURES AVERAGING ABOVE NORMAL IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS
WHILE THE GEFS REFORECAST MAINTAINS SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES LONGER. THE ECENS
REFORECAST SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE, SHOWING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE RAW AND
BIAS-CORRECTED OUTPUT FROM ALL OF THE ENSEMBLES, ALONG WITH THE DYNAMICAL
ECMWF, BETTER RESEMBLES THE COLDER GEFS SOLUTION, AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
LEANS IN THIS DIRECTION, KEEPING MEAN TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST. ODDS FOR SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES EXCEED 40 PERCENT AS FAR SOUTH AS
THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS, WITH SUBNORMAL MEAN TEMPERATURES AT LEAST MARGINALLY
FAVORED INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THE BEST ODDS FOR BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES (OVER 70 PERCENT) ARE CLOSER TO THE 500-HPA NEGATIVE ANOMALY
CENTER, AROUND THE GREAT LAKES AND NEAR THE ST. LAWRENCE SEAWAY. MEANWHILE, THE
LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXCEEDS 60 PERCENT FROM PORTIONS OF THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO WESTERN TEXAS, WITH ODDS ABOVE 50 PERCENT ACROSS A
BROAD AREA INCLUDING MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN, THE SOUTHWEST, THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES, AND THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF TEXAS. WARMER THAN
NORMAL WEATHER IS ALSO FAVORED ACROSS ALASKA, CONSISTENT WITH THE
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED MID-LEVEL RIDGE THERE. FARTHER SOUTH, TODAY'S FORECAST FAVORS
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS HAWAII, CONSISTENT WITH INCREASED CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH A PERSISTENT KONA LOW NEAR THE ISLAND CHAIN.
IN TODAY'S 6-10 DAY PRECIPITATION FORECAST, SURPLUS PRECIPITATION IS AT LEAST
NOMINALLY FAVORED OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS, INDICATIVE OF A SHARP INCREASE IN
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM RELATIVE TO SHORTER-TERM FORECASTS.
HEAVIER THAN NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED TO SOME DEGREE IN MOST AREAS FROM
THE SOUTHWEST AND THE ROCKIES EASTWARD TO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD, EXCEPTING ONLY
A SWATH FROM THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION, A STRIPE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE IN THE SOUTHEAST, AND PENINSULAR
FLORIDA. THE BEST ODDS FOR ABNORMAL WETNESS EXCEED 50 PERCENT JUST SOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO RIVERS' CONFLUENCE, WHERE MOIST GULF INFLOW IS EXPECTED TO
INTERACT WITH A DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM SEPARATING COLD AIR OVER THE EASTERN
CONUS FROM WARMER CONDITIONS FARTHER WEST. CHANCES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ARE OVER 40 PERCENT THROUGHOUT THE HIGH PLAINS AND SOME ADJACENT
AREAS, AND FROM CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY, AND THE INTERIOR SOUTHEAST. ENHANCED
CHANCES FOR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ARE LIMITED TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND FAR WESTERN WASHINGTON, WHERE THE LIKELIHOOD OF ABNORMAL DRYNESS
REMAINS BELOW 40 PERCENT. DRIER THAN NORMAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN
ALASKA WHILE SURPLUS PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE, CONSISTENT WITH THE CONSOLIDATION. FARTHER SOUTH, HAWAII
HAS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE
STATE WITH A KONA LOW AFFECTING THE ISLAND CHAIN.
THE OFFICIAL 6-10 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF 20% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8, 40% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN
CENTERED ON DAY 8, 25% OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z ECMWF CENTERED ON DAY 8, AND
15% OF TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: ABOVE AVERAGE (4 OUT OF 5) DUE TO
GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLVING MID-LEVEL PATTERN, TEMPERED SLIGHTLY BY THE
LESS-AMPLIFIED GEFS MEAN ALONG WITH SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE RAW AND
STATISTICALLY-ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TOOLS DERIVED FROM THE
ENSEMBLES.
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 22 - 28 2026
THE MANUAL HEIGHT BLEND FOR WEEK-2 IS PRIMARILY AN AVERAGE OF THE ENSEMBLE
MEANS, WITH MORE WEIGHT ALLOCATED TO THE ECENS MEAN WHICH HAS BEEN THE MOST
CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE 6Z DETERMINISTIC GFS IS FAR MORE
AMPLIFIED THAN ANY OF THE ENSEMBLE MEANS, WHICH IS NOT UNREASONABLE GIVEN THE
TENDENCY OF THE INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS OF THE ENSEMBLES TO DIVERGE WITH TIME,
RESULTING IN MEAN HEIGHT ANOMALIES THAT SLIDE CLOSER TO NORMAL WITH TIME.
THEREFORE, THE 6Z GFS WAS GIVEN SOME INFLUENCE TO INCREASE THE AMPLITUDE OF
FEATURES DEPICTED BY THE ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS
MAINTAINED FROM THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC NORTHWARD THROUGH ALASKA, ALTHOUGH
THE GREATEST 500-HPA ANOMALIES ARE SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. DOWNSTREAM, A
MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS STRETCHES FROM CENTRAL AND EASTERN CANADA THROUGH MOST OF
THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS AND INTO THE INTERIOR WEST. 500-HPA HEIGHT
ANOMALIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE ARE MORE NEGATIVE IN THE NORTHEAST THAN
YESTERDAY, BUT LESS SO ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. MEANWHILE, SLIGHTLY
ABOVE-NORMAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS STRETCH FROM NEAR TEXAS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
AND LOWER MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THIS FEATURE IS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY BUT
SUPPRESSED SLIGHTLY FARTHER TO THE SOUTH.
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE PATTERN ESTABLISHED AT THE END OF THE 6-10 DAY
PERIOD ACROSS THE CONUS MAY BE TRANSIENT, WITH THE PATTERN SHIFTING BACK TOWARD
THE FORECAST FOR THE START OF THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD, THOUGH SOMEWHAT LESS
AMPLIFIED. WEEK-2 STARTS WITH A DIGGING MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS, AND 500-HPA HEIGHTS MARGINALLY ABOVE NORMAL IN OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST
WITH THE FORMER EASTERN CONUS MID-LEVEL TROUGH HAVING RETREATED NORTHWARD.
MEANWHILE, THE STRONG RIDGE FROM THE MID-PACIFIC INTO ALASKA REMAINS IN PLACE
EARLY IN WEEK-2. AS THE PERIOD EVOLVES, THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE
WEST APPEARS TO MAXIMIZE AROUND DAY 10 BEFORE IT BEGINS TO DEAMPLIFY AND MOVE
EASTWARD. THIS ALLOWS UPSTREAM MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WEST,
RESULTING IN AN AREA OF SOMEWHAT ABOVE-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS OVER PART OF THE
FAR WEST BY THE END OF WEEK-2, A LESS-AMPLIFIED VERSION OF WHAT IS IN PLACE AT
THE START OF THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD. MEANWHILE, AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
WEST PULLS EASTWARD, IT HELPS RE-ESTABLISH LOWER 500-HPA HEIGHTS AND SOME
DEGREE OF MID-LEVEL TROUGHING ALONG THE EAST COAST, ESPECIALLY THE NORTHEAST,
ALSO A LESS-AMPLIFIED VERSION OF THE PATTERN ANTICIPATED AT THE START OF THE
6-10 DAY PERIOD. CLOSER TO THE EQUATOR, THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF HAWAII
STRENGTHENS SOMEWHAT AND DRIFTS SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD RELATIVE TO THE 6-10 DAY
PERIOD, WHICH CONTINUES TO FAVOR KONA LOW DEVELOPMENT.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE CHANCES ARE ELEVATED ACROSS MOST OF THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN CONUS, BUT GUIDANCE IS INCONSISTENT IN THE EASTERN CONUS REGARDING HOW
FAR SOUTH BELOW-NORMAL MEAN TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE ECENS AND CMCE
REFORECASTS FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL MEAN TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION
WHILE THE GEFS REFORECAST, ALONG WITH THE BIAS-CORRECTED AND RAW TEMPERATURE
TOOLS, KEEP MEAN TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL AS FAR SOUTH AS THE NORTHERN
CAROLINAS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE THAT TILTS TOWARD THE COLDER
SOLUTIONS IN THE EAST, GIVEN THE TREND OF THE MODELS IS IN THIS DIRECTION. A
SHIFT BACK TOWARD STRONGER MID-LEVEL TROUGHING IN EASTERN NORTH AMERICA IS MORE
FAVORABLE FOR THE RENEWED DELIVERY OF COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO PART OF THE NORTHERN
CONUS. ODDS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES REFLECT THIS, REACHING 70 PERCENT IN
THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. FARTHER WEST, WHETHER OR NOT THE AMPLIFIED
MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS DETERIORATING, IT SHOULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP MEAN
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS ALASKA OUTSIDE THE PANHANDLE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE NEAR OR NOMINALLY BELOW-NORMAL ACROSS HAWAII, WHERE A
PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE STATE FAVORS INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION.
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED AT LEAST MARGINALLY ACROSS MOST OF THE
CONUS FOR WEEK-2. THE BEST ODDS COVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND THE ADJACENT
MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS, WHERE A WAVERING BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO
INTERACT WITH MOISTURE ADVECTING FROM THE GULF. THE CHANCES FOR WETTER THAN
NORMAL CONDITIONS EXCEED 50 PERCENT IN THIS REGION. MEANWHILE, ODDS FOR WETNESS
EXCEED 40 PERCENT ACROSS A LARGE SWATH THROUGH THE INTERIOR EASTERN CONUS AND
THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION, AND FROM MOST OF THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE CENTRAL
TIER OF THE ROCKIES. SUBNORMAL PRECIPITATION IS NOT FAVORED ANYWHERE ACROSS THE
CONUS DURING WEEK-2. THE PATTERN ACROSS ALASKA REMAINS AT LEAST SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR SUBNORMAL PRECIPITATION ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
STATE, WITH SURPLUS PRECIPITATION FAVORED FARTHER NORTH. ACROSS HAWAII, THE
MID-LEVEL PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FAVOR KONA LOW DEVELOPMENT,
INCREASING THE ODDS FOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION THERE.
THE OFFICIAL 8-14 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF: 12% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11, 12% OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 6Z GFS CENTERED ON
DAY 11, 60% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11, AND 16% OF
TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD: ABOUT AVERAGE (3 OUT OF 5), DUE TO
GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION PATTERN EARLY IN WEEK-2,
TEMPERED BY INCREASING UNCERTAINTY LATER IN THE PERIOD AND DISCREPANCIES AMONG
THE VARIOUS TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TOOLS.
FORECASTER: RICH TINKER
NOTES:
THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS
THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE N-NEAR NORMAL B-BELOW
THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER
(ORANGE, "A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (GRAY, "N") NORMAL.
LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF THE MORE
LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A). PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING
WETTER (GREEN, "A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (GRAY, "N")
NORMAL. LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF
THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A). PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL
BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY
EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY
SEASONS. IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A
FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1991-2020 BASE PERIOD MEANS AS
REFERENCE IN THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.
THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON
JANUARY 15.
ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
20061231 - 20240128 - 20210114 - 20030104 - 20150123
ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
20061231 - 20170116 - 19890127 - 20120127 - 19910113
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR JAN 20 - 24 2026
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON N N OREGON A N NRN CALIF A N
SRN CALIF A A IDAHO A A NEVADA A N
W MONTANA B A E MONTANA B A WYOMING A A
UTAH A A ARIZONA A A COLORADO A A
NEW MEXICO A A N DAKOTA B A S DAKOTA B A
NEBRASKA N N KANSAS N N OKLAHOMA A A
N TEXAS A A S TEXAS A A W TEXAS A A
MINNESOTA B N IOWA B N MISSOURI B A
ARKANSAS N A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN B N
ILLINOIS B A MISSISSIPPI N A MICHIGAN B A
INDIANA B A OHIO B A KENTUCKY B A
TENNESSEE B A ALABAMA N A NEW YORK B A
VERMONT B A NEW HAMP B A MAINE B A
MASS B A CONN B A RHODE IS B A
PENN B A NEW JERSEY B A W VIRGINIA B A
MARYLAND B A DELAWARE B A VIRGINIA B A
N CAROLINA B A S CAROLINA B A GEORGIA B A
FL PNHDL N N FL PENIN N B AK N SLOPE A A
AK ALEUTIAN A N AK WESTERN A A AK INT BSN A A
AK S INT A B AK SO COAST A B AK PNHDL B B
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR JAN 22 - 28 2026
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON B N OREGON N N NRN CALIF A N
SRN CALIF A A IDAHO A A NEVADA A A
W MONTANA B A E MONTANA B A WYOMING N A
UTAH A A ARIZONA A A COLORADO A A
NEW MEXICO A A N DAKOTA B A S DAKOTA B A
NEBRASKA B A KANSAS B A OKLAHOMA N A
N TEXAS A A S TEXAS A N W TEXAS A N
MINNESOTA B A IOWA B A MISSOURI B A
ARKANSAS N A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN B A
ILLINOIS B A MISSISSIPPI A A MICHIGAN B A
INDIANA B A OHIO B A KENTUCKY B A
TENNESSEE N A ALABAMA A A NEW YORK B A
VERMONT B A NEW HAMP B A MAINE B A
MASS B A CONN B A RHODE IS B A
PENN B A NEW JERSEY B A W VIRGINIA B A
MARYLAND B A DELAWARE B A VIRGINIA B A
N CAROLINA N A S CAROLINA A A GEORGIA A A
FL PNHDL A A FL PENIN A N AK N SLOPE A A
AK ALEUTIAN A N AK WESTERN A A AK INT BSN A A
AK S INT A N AK SO COAST A B AK PNHDL B B
LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL A - ABOVE N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW B - BELOW
THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.
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