516  
FXUS01 KWBC 201903  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
202 PM EST TUE JAN 20 2026  
 
VALID 00Z WED JAN 21 2026 - 00Z FRI JAN 23 2026  
   
..LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES
 
 
...FRIGID ARCTIC AIRMASS RETURNS OVER NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL U.S  
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...  
 
...FREEZE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA DOWN INTO  
FLORIDA...  
 
MULTIPLE CLIPPER SYSTEMS FROM THE CANADIAN ROCKIES WILL MOVE  
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS, MIDWEST, AND GREAT LAKES CARRYING  
SPORADIC SNOW SHOWERS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
BEHIND THE COLD FRONTS, A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ENHANCE THE  
LAKE-EFFECT, WHICH WILL BRING SNOW DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES,  
WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER SNOW NEAR THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SIDE OF  
THE LAKES, ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.  
 
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DOMINATE MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF  
OF CONUS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST AND MIDWEST, BRINGING  
BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.  
FREEZE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF GEORGIA INTO NORTHERN  
FLORIDA, AS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT. AS  
THE ARCTIC COLD AIR MASS CONTINUES TO SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD, EXPECT  
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW NORMAL COLD CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF  
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, EXPECT  
TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 15-25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST DROPPING BELOW 0 DEGREES.  
OTHERWISE, EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES OVER WESTERN U.S. THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A SOUTHERN STREAM ACROSS NORTHERN  
BAJA CALIFORNIA TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. WITH THE CYCLONIC  
FLOW, MOIST GULF AIR WILL POOL AND COLLIDE WITH THE ARCTIC AIR  
BRINGING WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS TEXAS TO THE  
SOUTHEAST. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK FURTHER NORTH, SNOW  
CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY, MID-ATLANTIC, AND  
NORTHEAST. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO TREND HIGHER FOR AN  
IMPACTFUL SYSTEM DEVELOPING, THE TIMING, TRACK AND STRENGTH OF  
THIS WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNCERTAIN. THEREFORE, REMAIN  
UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION AT WEATHER.GOV.  
 
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE  
SOUTH FLORIDA COAST THAT WILL SERVE TO BE PRIMARILY BENEFICIAL, AS  
CONDITIONS OVER THIS AREA TRENDS DRIER FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.  
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING BUT  
PROBABILITY IS TOO LOW TO ISSUE A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1/4) AT  
THIS MOMENT.  
 
OUDIT  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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