811
FXUS06 KWBC 042001
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK, MD
300 PM EST WED FEBRUARY 04 2026
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEB 10 - 14 2026
TODAY'S ENSEMBLE MODEL MEANS DEPICT A 500-HPA FLOW PATTERN SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY'S, WITH AN ANOMALOUS MEAN RIDGE CENTERED NEAR NORTHERN QUEBEC AND THE
DAVIS STRAIT WHICH EXTENDS SOUTHWARD INTO ABOVE-NORMAL 500HPA HEIGHTS OVER MOST
OF THE EASTERN CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES (CONUS). MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE CLOSER TO NORMAL OVER THE NORTHEAST THAN THE INTERIOR EASTERN CONUS DUE
TO THE PROXIMITY OF NEGATIVE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT ANOMALIES CENTERED SOUTHEAST OF
ATLANTIC CANADA. MEANWHILE, A MEAN RIDGE IS CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH
PACIFIC, AND SUBNORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS PREVAIL FARTHER NORTH FROM SIBERIA
ACROSS ALASKA, WITH A REFLECTION EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH WESTERN NORTH
AMERICA. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS THAT THIS MEAN 500-HPA PATTERN WILL BE MASKING A
VARIABLE PATTERN UNDERGOING SIGNIFICANT CHANGES OVER THE COURSE OF THE 6-10 DAY
PERIOD. THE NEGATIVE 500-HPA HEIGHTS ACROSS ALASKA ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY
RETREAT NORTHWESTWARD BY MOST GUIDANCE AS THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE
BUILDS NORTHWARD INTO THE ALEUTIANS AND POSSIBLY SOUTHERN MAINLAND ALASKA.
DOWNSTREAM, THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
EASTWARD AND WEAKEN, ALLOWING MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS THERE TO REBOUND BRIEFLY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH PUSHES TOWARD THE REGION BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. FARTHER EAST,
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WEAKENS AS THE REMNANTS OF THE
WESTERN CONUS MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVE EASTWARD, BRIEFLY ESTABLISHING BELOW-NORMAL
HEIGHTS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS BY DAY 10 (FEB 14). HOWEVER, AS THE 500-HPA
PATTERN UNDERGOES THESE CHANGES OVER THE COURSE OF THE PERIOD, POSITIVE 500-HPA
HEIGHT ANOMALIES PERSIST AROUND THE DAVIS STRAIT AND NORTHERN QUEBEC, POSSIBLY
WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.
PREDICTED RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE INTERIOR EASTERN CONUS FAVORS
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FROM THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST EASTWARD
THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND MOST OF THE APPALACHIANS, WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF
ANOMALOUS WARMTH EXCEEDING 80 PERCENT ACROSS MOST OF THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND ADJACENT GREAT PLAINS. GUIDANCE WAS LESS CONSISTENT
ALONG THE WESTERN AND EASTERN TIERS OF THE CONUS WHERE A VARIABLE 500-HPA
HEIGHT PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED. THE RAW ENSEMBLE MEAN OUTPUT FAVORS BELOW-NORMAL
MEAN TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST, AS WELL AS
ACROSS THE WEST COAST STATES. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE REFORECASTS FAVOR NEAR- OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THESE REGIONS, WHILE THE BIAS-CORRECTED
OUTPUT ESSENTIALLY SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE. TODAY'S FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE OF
THESE TOOLS, WITH SLIGHTLY ENHANCED CHANCES FOR SUBNORMAL MEAN TEMPERATURES IN
PARTS OF THE UPPER MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST, AND NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
NEAR THE WEST COAST. FARTHER NORTHWEST, COLDER THAN NORMAL WEATHER IS FAVORED
OVER MOST OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN MAINLAND ALASKA NEAR THE MOST NEGATIVE
500-HPA HEIGHT DEPARTURES WHILE SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER SOUTHEASTERN
PARTS OF THE STATE. ACROSS HAWAII, WITH A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED TO
THE NORTH, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE STRONGLY FAVORED, CONSISTENT WITH THE
CONSOLIDATION.
WITH CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN CONUS BOTH EARLY AND
LATE IN THE PERIOD, ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED, WITH THE CHANCES
EXCEEDING 60 PERCENT IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN ARIZONA, JUST EAST OF
THE GREATEST NEGATIVE 500-HPA HEIGHT ANOMALIES. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE
REFORECAST TOOLS, ESPECIALLY FROM THE EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE (ECENS) AND GEFS. THE
RAW MODEL OUTPUT IS NOT AS BULLISH WITH PRECIPITATION IN THIS REGION, BUT THE
REFORECAST OUTPUT IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE PREDICTED 500-HPA CIRCULATION
EVOLUTION. MEANWHILE, THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH INITIALLY IN THE WESTERN CONUS
SLIDES EASTWARD AND WEAKENS AS IT ERODES 500-HPA HEIGHTS OVER THE EASTERN
CONUS. THIS WOULD PULL A SURFACE STORM SYSTEM AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL AND INTERIOR EASTERN CONUS, LEADING TO ENHANCED
ODDS OF ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION STRETCHING FROM THE WEST COAST
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MOST OF THE ROCKIES AND PLAINS THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES, UPPER SOUTH, APPALACHIANS, MID-ATLANTIC, AND NORTHEAST. THE BEST ODDS
FOR SURPLUS PRECIPITATION OUTSIDE THE FAR WEST (40 TO 50 PERCENT) STRETCH
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALVES OF THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, THE GREAT
LAKES, AND MOST OF THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS,
NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE POTENTIAL TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM. INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ARE
LIMITED TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOME AREAS NEAR THE GULF COAST, WELL SOUTH
OF THE POTENTIAL STORM SYSTEM. THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS ALASKA SHOULD BE
FAIRLY ACTIVE, LEADING TO INCREASED ODDS FOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION, WITH
CHANCES EXCEEDING 50 PERCENT IN A SWATH ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL PARTS OF MAINLAND ALASKA. FARTHER SOUTH, MOST GUIDANCE FAVORS
ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS HAWAII, AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS
SUIT, ESPECIALLY IN NORTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE ISLAND CHAIN.
THE OFFICIAL 6-10 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF 25% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8, 20% OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 6Z GFS CENTERED ON
DAY 8, 20% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8, 30% OF
TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z ECMWF CENTERED ON DAY 8, AND 5% OF TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: ABOVE AVERAGE, 4 OUT OF 5, DUE TO
EXCELLENT MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE MEAN 500-HPA PATTERN, TEMPERED BY SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN DAY-TO-DAY EVOLUTION, ALONG WITH AREAS OF INCONSISTENCY BETWEEN
THE RAW AND STATISTICALLY-ADJUSTED ENSEMBLE FORECASTS.
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEB 12 - 18 2026
A HIGH-AMPLITUDE MEAN MID-LEVEL PATTERN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DURING WEEK-2.
SIMILAR TO THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD, A PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE
CENTERED NEAR NORTHERN QUEBEC OR THE DAVIS STRAIT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGHOUT WEEK-2. ELSEWHERE, GUIDANCE INDICATES A MORE VARIABLE AND
PROGRESSIVE 500-HPA PATTERN EVEN THOUGH THE MEAN 500-HPA HEIGHT FIELD FOR THE
6-10 DAY PERIOD IS VERY SIMILAR TO WEEK-2 OVER MOST OF NORTH AMERICA. LOOKING
AT THE DAILY PROGRESSION OF FEATURES, A MID-LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG
TOWARD AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE WESTERN CONUS, MAINTAINING A FAVORABLE SET-UP
FOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION. FARTHER EAST, THE PERIOD STARTS WITH WEAKLY
BELOW-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, BUT WITH TIME, THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE WEST LEADS TO DOWNSTREAM 500-HPA HEIGHT
INCREASES OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. BY THE END OF WEEK-2, THE HEIGHT FIELD ACROSS
THE CONUS LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE SITUATION AT THE START OF THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD,
WITH MID-LEVEL TROUGHING IN THE WEST AND A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE IN THE EAST. IT IS
UNCERTAIN HOW AMPLIFIED THIS PATTERN WILL BE AS WEEK-2 WINDS DOWN, BUT IT
MAINTAINS A FAVORABLE SET-UP FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHEASTERN CONUS. ACROSS ALASKA, THE CENTRAL NORTH
PACIFIC MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD NORTHWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD SLOWLY
PUSHING 500-HPA HEIGHTS TOWARD OR ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF WEEK-2. THE
EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN IS SLOWER TO INCREASE ALASKAN HEIGHTS THAN THE GEFS AND
CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEANS, BUT THE DIFFERENCE DOESN'T CHANGE THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
FORECAST MUCH. AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL ALASKA SLOWLY WINDS DOWN WITH TIME WHILE PRECIPITATION INCREASES
OVER SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE STATE, NEAR THE 500-HPA TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE
WEST. ACROSS HAWAII, MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS DECLINE A LITTLE AS THE CENTRAL NORTH
PACIFIC RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWESTWARD, BUT THE REGIME IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WARMER
AND WETTER THAN NORMAL.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST
COAST. THE RAW AND BIAS-CORRECTED OUTPUT FROM THE ENSEMBLES SHOW BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES LINGERING ACROSS THE WEST AND PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST, WHEREAS
CALIBRATED REFORECAST OUTPUT FAVORS SOMEWHAT ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THOSE
AREAS. THE FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE, EXPANDING THE AREA IN THE WEST WHERE BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED, AND REDUCING THE ODDS FOR ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST. ACROSS MOST OF THE
CONUS, HOWEVER, TOOLS UNAMBIGUOUSLY FAVOR WARMER THAN NORMAL WEATHER, AS DOES
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXCEEDS 70
PERCENT IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS, LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AND SOME
ADJACENT AREAS. MEANWHILE, BELOW-NORMAL MEAN TEMPERATURES ARE MORE LIKELY
ACROSS MOST OF ALASKA, WITH ODDS TOPPING 50 PERCENT OVER PARTS OF THE WESTERN
MAINLAND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MODERATE TOWARD THE END OF THE
PERIOD UNDER RISING HEIGHTS. FARTHER SOUTH, WEST OF HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE AND
SOUTH OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY
FAVORED ACROSS HAWAII.
AN ACTIVE PATTERN REMAINS FAVORED FOR THE WESTERN CONUS WITH A POTENT 500-HPA
TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE REGION AFTER THE INITIAL FEATURE PUSHES EAST AND
WEAKENS. MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL BRIEFLY AT THE
OUTSET OF WEEK-2 BEFORE THE SECOND MID-LEVEL TROUGH ENCROACHES ON THE REGION,
QUICKLY INCREASING THE ODDS FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION. TODAY'S
GUIDANCE IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST AS YESTERDAY'S WITH PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN THE
WEST, BUT STILL, CHANCES FOR UNUSUALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS EXCEED 50
PERCENT ACROSS A BROAD AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WEST COAST
STATES. FARTHER EAST, UNDER CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN THE MID-LEVEL MEAN
TROUGH IN THE WEST AND ELEVATED MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS OVER THE EAST, A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE TENNESSEE AND
LOWER OHIO VALLEYS, INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE ACTIVE AND PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN MAY TRIGGER PERIODS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN THIS REGION, AND THE
ENSEMBLE MEANS ALL SHOW HEAVIER PRECIPITATION FALLING ON THIS REGION COMPARED
TO OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE EASTERN CONUS. AS A RESULT, THERE IS A 50 TO 60
PERCENT CHANCE FOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION THERE DURING WEEK-2, WITH ODDS OF
40 TO 50 PERCENT MAINTAINED ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY AND
THE OHIO VALLEY. ONLY AREAS NEAR THE GULF COAST AND ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
HAVE ENHANCED CHANCES FOR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION, CONSISTENT WITH RAW AND
REFORECAST ENSEMBLE OUTPUT, AND WITH A STORM TRACK SETTING UP WELL TO THE
NORTH. ACROSS ALASKA, THE ACTIVE PATTERN OVER THE MAINLAND SHOULD SLOWLY WIND
DOWN LATER WEEK-2, RESULTING IN A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FOR THE PERIOD AS A WHOLE IN MUCH OF THE WESTERN MAINLAND AND IN
A SWATH FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN TO THE CENTRAL MAINLAND. NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE STATE, ALTHOUGH TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA LATER IN THE PERIOD.
CONSISTENT WITH MID-LEVEL FEATURES AND THE CONSOLIDATION, ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORED ACROSS HAWAII, ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN
ISLANDS.
THE OFFICIAL 8-14 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF: 30% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11, 15% OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 6Z GFS CENTERED ON
DAY 11, 40% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11, AND 15% OF
TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 OUT OF 5, WITH GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE MEAN 500-HPA PATTERN TEMPERED BY UNCERTAINTIES IN THE
DETAILS OF PATTERN EVOLUTION, REGIONAL INCONSISTENCIES BETWEEN THE RAW AND
STATISTICALLY-ADJUSTED ENSEMBLE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION FORECASTS, AND
THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTY OF A VARIABLE, PROGRESSIVE REGIME.
FORECASTER: RICH TINKER
NOTES:
THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS
THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE N-NEAR NORMAL B-BELOW
THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER
(ORANGE, "A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (GRAY, "N") NORMAL.
LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF THE MORE
LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A). PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING
WETTER (GREEN, "A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (GRAY, "N")
NORMAL. LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF
THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A). PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL
BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY
EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY
SEASONS. IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A
FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1991-2020 BASE PERIOD MEANS AS
REFERENCE IN THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.
THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON
FEBRUARY 19.
ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
20100216 - 20030125 - 20160209 - 20210115 - 19950205
ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
20100216 - 20160211 - 20030126 - 19950205 - 20160121
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR FEB 10 - 14 2026
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON A A OREGON N A NRN CALIF N A
SRN CALIF N A IDAHO A A NEVADA A A
W MONTANA A A E MONTANA A A WYOMING A A
UTAH A A ARIZONA A A COLORADO A A
NEW MEXICO A A N DAKOTA A A S DAKOTA A A
NEBRASKA A A KANSAS A A OKLAHOMA A A
N TEXAS A A S TEXAS A N W TEXAS A A
MINNESOTA A A IOWA A A MISSOURI A A
ARKANSAS A A LOUISIANA A N WISCONSIN A A
ILLINOIS A A MISSISSIPPI A N MICHIGAN A A
INDIANA A A OHIO A A KENTUCKY A A
TENNESSEE A A ALABAMA A N NEW YORK N A
VERMONT N A NEW HAMP B A MAINE A N
MASS B N CONN B A RHODE IS B N
PENN A A NEW JERSEY B A W VIRGINIA A A
MARYLAND N A DELAWARE B A VIRGINIA A A
N CAROLINA A A S CAROLINA A A GEORGIA A N
FL PNHDL A B FL PENIN A B AK N SLOPE B A
AK ALEUTIAN N A AK WESTERN B A AK INT BSN B A
AK S INT N A AK SO COAST N A AK PNHDL A A
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR FEB 12 - 18 2026
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON N A OREGON N A NRN CALIF B A
SRN CALIF B A IDAHO A A NEVADA N A
W MONTANA A A E MONTANA A A WYOMING A A
UTAH A A ARIZONA A A COLORADO A A
NEW MEXICO A A N DAKOTA A A S DAKOTA A A
NEBRASKA A A KANSAS A A OKLAHOMA A N
N TEXAS A N S TEXAS A N W TEXAS A N
MINNESOTA A A IOWA A A MISSOURI A A
ARKANSAS A A LOUISIANA A N WISCONSIN A A
ILLINOIS A A MISSISSIPPI A N MICHIGAN A A
INDIANA A A OHIO A A KENTUCKY A A
TENNESSEE A A ALABAMA A N NEW YORK A A
VERMONT A A NEW HAMP A A MAINE A A
MASS A A CONN A A RHODE IS A A
PENN A A NEW JERSEY A A W VIRGINIA A A
MARYLAND A A DELAWARE A A VIRGINIA A A
N CAROLINA A A S CAROLINA A A GEORGIA A N
FL PNHDL A B FL PENIN A B AK N SLOPE B A
AK ALEUTIAN N N AK WESTERN B A AK INT BSN B A
AK S INT B A AK SO COAST B N AK PNHDL B A
LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL A - ABOVE N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW B - BELOW
THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.
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