710
FXUS01 KWBC 070751
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
250 AM EST SAT FEB 07 2026
VALID 12Z SAT FEB 07 2026 - 12Z MON FEB 09 2026
... A SURGE OF DANGEROUSLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE
NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND...
...A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BRING LOWER ELEVATION RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES...
...WARMER-THAN-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL TO WESTERN U.S....
A CLIPPER SYSTEM WITH A PAIR OF COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES WHIPPING
THROUGH THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING WILL BRING VERY GUSTY WINDS AND
A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR TODAY. GUSTS UPWARDS OF 60-70 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC AND ALONG THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
ADDITIONALLY, A SURGE OF BRUTALLY COLD, ARCTIC AIR WILL FOLLOW
BEHIND THE SYSTEM. FORECAST HIGHS THIS WEEKEND RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW 20S, WITH NUMEROUS RECORD-TYING/BREAKING
DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS AS MUCH AS 30 BELOW ZERO FOR
THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST AND INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS AND SINGLE
DIGITS CLOSER TO THE COAST SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. THESE WIND CHILLS WILL POSE A LIFE-THREATENING RISK OF
HYPOTHERMIA AND FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN. IN ADDITION, SOME SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE DAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND,
WITH SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY
CLOSER TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW
SHOWERS WILL ALSO CONTINUE ALONG LAKE ONTARIO.
AN ENHANCED FLOW OF PACIFIC MOISTURE/WEAK ATMOSPHERIC RIVER
ACCOMPANYING A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING AN EXPANDING REGION
OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TODAY. THE HEAVY RAIN FOCUS WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY FOR OREGON AND FAR NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. MOISTURE WILL ALSO SPREAD FURTHER INLAND BRINGING RAIN
SHOWERS INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY EVENING AND INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. A
WINTRY MIX WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY AS
TEMPERATURES COOL FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. SOME
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY HIGHER ELEVATION MOUNTAIN SNOW IS ALSO
EXPECTED FOR THE CASCADES TODAY AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE, ANOTHER UPPER-WAVE AND ACCOMPANYING
CLIPPER-LIKE SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT SATURDAY. SOME SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST AND WEST TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER-LOW.
WARMER-THAN-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN U.S. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
UPPER-RIDGE. THE GREATEST ANOMALIES WILL BE FOCUSED ON THE
NORTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS, WHERE HIGHS IN THE 50S, 60S, AND EVEN
LOW 70S ARE UPWARDS OF 35-40 DEGREES ABOVE EARLY FEBRUARY
AVERAGES. HIGHS FOR THE INTERIOR WEST WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S
WHILE THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, SOUTHWEST, AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
SEE HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID-80S. HIGHS WILL BE CLOSER TO AVERAGE
FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST DUE TO THE INCOMING PACIFIC
SYSTEM, WITH 40S AND 50S FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND 50S AND 60S
INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. WHILE NOT QUITE AS BITTERLY COLD
AS THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC, MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. WILL STILL
BE BELOW AVERAGE FOLLOWING A PAIR OF FRONTAL PASSAGES, WITH HIGHS
IN THE TEENS AND 20S FOR THE GREAT LAKES, 20S AND 30S IN THE OHIO
VALLEY, 40S AND 50S IN THE SOUTHEAST, AND 60S FOR THE GULF
COAST/FLORIDA. AN EASTWARD EXPANSION OF THE UPPER-RIDGE WILL BRING
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AS HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 20S AND 30S NORTH AND 40S AND 50S SOUTH SATURDAY
RISE 10-15 DEGREES WARMER SUNDAY.
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