377
FXUS01 KWBC 091955
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
254 PM EST MON FEB 09 2026
VALID 00Z TUE FEB 10 2026 - 00Z THU FEB 12 2026
...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO CALIFORNIA AND THE
CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK...
...A CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING SNOW AND WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TO THE GREAT LAKES, BEFORE MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST
MID-WEEK...
...ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE SET TO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL UNITED STATES, WITH CONDITIONS IN THE EAST
ALSO MODERATING....
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH, CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE PACIFIC, IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA AND THE CENTRAL GREAT
BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON TUESDAY. UPPER- TO MID-LEVEL SUPPORT
WILL ALLOW FOR A SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM TO PERSIST, WHILE ANOTHER
MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE BEGINS TO MOVE IN FROM THE PACIFIC ON
WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION IN CALIFORNIA AND PARTS OF THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST IS SET TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY MORNING IN THE FORM
OF RAIN ON THE LOWER ELEVATION/COASTAL REGIONS, AND SNOW/WINTRY
MIX ON THE UPSLOPE REGIONS AND REGIONS OF HIGHER ELEVATION.
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, AS
THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE ARRIVES ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING IN AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE, ALONG WITH FAVORABLE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW ONSHORE, AND WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION, PARTICULARLY IN THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA
ON WEDNESDAY.
A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE MOVING ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN
BORDER, BRINGING SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS OF THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES TODAY, WITH LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN
POSSIBLE. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ON TUESDAY BRINGING
MORE MODERATE SNOW TO PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK AND CENTRAL NEW
ENGLAND. FURTHER SOUTH, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY, CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY.
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY/MID-SOUTH THROUGH AS FAR WEST AS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST.
ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE SET TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
WEEK FOR THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN UNITED STATES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS COULD REACH AS HIGH AS 80 DEGREES,
PARTICULARLY IN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA. THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED COLD
FRONT IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING DOWN TEMPERATURES
SLIGHTLY, BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN UNSEASONABLY
HIGH. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
COMMENCE THEREAFTER. LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG DOWNSLOPING WINDS
WILL BRING THE RISK OF FIRE WEATHER, WHICH HAS PROMPTED THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER TO ISSUE A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRE WEATHER (LEVEL
2/3) FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
AFTER HAVING EXPERIENCED EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR THE PAST
FEW WEEKS, THE EASTERN U.S. WILL FINALLY SEE A WIDESPREAD REPRIEVE
FROM THE EXTREME COLD ON TUESDAY. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO SPAN FROM THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC, WITH TEMPERATURES UP IN THE 40S AND 50S IN THE
MID-ATLANTIC, AND IN THE 60S AND 70S IN THE SOUTHEAST.
UNFORTUNATELY FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST, COLDER
TEMPERATURES ARE THEN EXPECTED TO RETURN TO END THE WEEK, ALBEIT
MUCH LESS EXTREME.
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