248
FXUS01 KWBC 102011
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
310 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2026
VALID 00Z WED FEB 11 2026 - 00Z FRI FEB 13 2026
...PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BRING LOWER ELEVATION RAIN AND HEAVY HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW TO CALIFORNIA AND THE MOUNTAIN WEST...
... WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED WITH PASSING CLIPPER SYSTEM IN THE
INTERIOR NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...
... ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE COUNTRY
THROUGH MID-WEEK....
A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BRING AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE/WEAK ATMOSPHERIC
RIVER TO CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING INTO TOMORROW. MOST COASTAL
LOCATIONS, AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN CENTRAL VALLEYS, WILL SEE
BENEFICIAL MODERATE RAINFALL. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH ENERGY ALONG
THE COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DO DEVELOP MAY BRING A STRONG WIND GUST OR TWO, AS WELL AS HEAVIER
RAINFALL RATES THAT COULD BRING A MARGINAL CHANCE FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS THE TRANSVERSE MOUNTAIN RANGE TONIGHT,
PARTICULARLY OVER THE SENSITIVE BURN SCARS. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED
FOR THE SIERRA NEVADA THROUGH LATE TOMORROW. THERE ARE WINTER
STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR MODERATE
PROBABILITIES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A FOOT AND WINDS
UPWARDS TO 50 MPH. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL TREND DOWNWARD
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND WITH
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN EAST
THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE WASATCH AND ROCKIES WILL SEE MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOW, WITH LIGHTER RAIN SHOWERS FOR LOWER ELEVATION/VALLEY
LOCATIONS.
A CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSING THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST/NEW
ENGLAND TODAY IS BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL, PARTICULARLY
FOR UPSTATE NEW YORK AS OF THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO
PICK UP ACROSS NEW YORK AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND MAINE THIS
EVENING INTO TOMORROW. LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES HAVE ISSUED
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR THIS EVENING AS A COUPLE OF INCHES
OF SNOWFALL COULD ACCUMULATE, AS WELL AS SOME HEAVIER SNOWFALL
RATES POSSIBLE FOR COMMUTERS. PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MAINE HAVE
ISSUED WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR POSSIBLE HEAVY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-8 INCHES. FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST TOWARDS THE
URBAN CORRIDOR, SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST AND
MAY MAKE COMMUTING SLIPPERY. THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY DEPART THE
REGION BY WEDNESDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. HOWEVER, COLD POST-FRONTAL FLOW WILL BRING SOME
LAKE-EFFECT SNOWS DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO, WITH SOME
ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FOR UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE
APPALACHIANS.
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR SOME OF THE COUNTRY
THROUGH MID-WEEK, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE PLAINS AND THE SOUTH.
WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY, MUCH OF THE PLAINS WILL BE 10-20 DEGREES WARMER
THAN AVERAGE FOR MIDDLE FEBRUARY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOW 80S ACROSS TEXAS TO THE MIDDLE 50S ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS. 60S AND 70S WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST, THOUGH
TEMPERATURES MAY COOL OFF TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AS A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY THURSDAY. THE NORTHEAST WILL
REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL WITH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S BEHIND
A COLD FRONT, BUT THE MID-ATLANTIC WILL MANAGE TO GET SOME HIGHS
IN THE 40S. THIS IS A MUCH WELCOME REPRIEVE FROM THE BITTERLY COLD
AIR MASS PRESENT OVER THE EAST COAST DURING JANUARY AND EARLY
FEBRUARY.
WILDER
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