987
FXUS01 KWBC 120639
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
138 AM EST THU FEB 12 2026
VALID 12Z THU FEB 12 2026 - 12Z SAT FEB 14 2026
...UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS PRECIPIATION CHANCES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST...
...POST-FRONTAL SNOW EXPECTED FOR GREAT LAKES AND HIGHER ELEVATION
SNOW FOR INTERIOR WEST...
...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
U.S. OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL EVOLVE THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER WESTERN U.S. AND A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE
SURFACE LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS BY FRIDAY AND WILL LIFT INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SATURDAY. AS THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ADVECT
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF, CHANCES FOR PRECIPIATION WILL INCREASE
OVER POTIONS OF SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTH/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO
LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS AS THE COLD FRONT TRAILS
ACROSS CENTRAL U.S. BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL FROM
THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERALLY BE BENEFICIAL, AREAS WITHIN THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS HAVE BEEN HIGHLIGHTED FOR A MARGINAL RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WITH CHANCES FOR FLASH FLOODING ON FRIDAY. IN
ADDITION, STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A MARGINAL RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS, WITH A RISK
FOR LARGE HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES
TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD, RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE
SOUTHEAST FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY.
THE COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE CLIPPER SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LACK-ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE GREAT
LAKES TODAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. HEADING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT,
ADDITIONAL SNOW BANDS WILL BE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE AND
ONTARIO AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND RANGES INTO CENTRAL APPALACHIANS,
AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
GENERALLY WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IN ADDITION, THE SOUTHWEST MOISTURE AND EASTERN
PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SNOW OVER THE CASCADES ON
FRIDAY AND WILL SPREAD INTO INTERIOR WEST THROUGH SATURDAY, BUT
AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE.
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF CONUS,
ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL U.S. WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15-30
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS WELL IN THE 60S AND 70S. OVER
WESTERN U.S., TEMPERATURES GENERALLY WILL SEE HIGHS IN THE 50S AND
60S, WHILE THE NORTHEAST WILL SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND 40S.
OUDIT
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