739
FXUS01 KWBC 130650
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
149 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2026
VALID 12Z FRI FEB 13 2026 - 12Z SUN FEB 15 2026
...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPIATION
TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND...
...SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE INTERIOR
WEST AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
..WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE PLAINS
AN PROGRESSIVE AMPLIFIED MID-LEVEL PATTERN WILL DOMINATE THE
PERIOD AS THE DEEPENING TROUGH WILL LIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS AND MIDWEST LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, REINFORCING THE
RIDGE ALONG THE WEST. AT THE SURFACE, THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND PLAINS ON FRIDAY WILL
TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SOUTHEAST, WHILE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DRAW ABUNDANT GULF
MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THIS PATTERN WILL PROMOTE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SOUTHEAST, WITH A CHANCE FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAIN BANDS WHERE TRAINING MAY OCCUR. PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX
REGION INTO LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A
MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
ISOLATED HAIL FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY. IN ADDITION,
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A MARGINAL
RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING FOR FRIDAY, AS WELL
AS A SLIGHT RISK FOR PARTS OF ARKLATEX INTO THE MID-SOUTH FOR
SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY, THE FRONT WILL MOVE OVER INTO THE SOUTHEAST,
BRINGING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC WITH A
CHANCE FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITHIN THE
NORTHEAST.
A FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WILL BRING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGHER ELEVATIONS OVER INTERIOR WEST AND
PACIFIC NORTHWEST MAY SEE SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY. AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER SOUTHEAST
ALONG THE WEST COAST ON SUNDAY, CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR SNOWFALL
ALONG HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITHIN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS ACROSS MUCH OF CONUS, ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL U.S. WHERE
TEMPERATURES WILL SEE A HIGHER CONTRAST OF 15-30 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO SOUTHEAST
CAN SEE HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S WITH SOME AREAS WITHIN TEXAS
EXPERIENCING LOW 80S, WHILE THE NORTHEAST WILL SEE CLOSE TO NORMAL
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 30 TO 40S. OVER THE INTERIOR WEST
AND SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY.
OUDIT
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