895
FXUS01 KWBC 140633
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
133 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2026
VALID 12Z SAT FEB 14 2026 - 12Z MON FEB 16 2026
...A COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO
THE EAST COAST WILL BRING A THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE
STORMS THIS WEEKEND...
...THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM ENTERS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BRINGS
BENEFICIAL RAINFALL TO COASTAL ZONES AND VALLEYS AND SNOWFALL TO
THE MOUNTAIN RANGES...
...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
COUNTRY...
THE SURFACE LOW THAT SITS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE
TO TREK EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY. AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
WILL INTERACT WITH LINGERING GULF MOISTURE, INCREASING CHANCES FOR
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE STORMS
TRAIN ALONG THE BOUNDARY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO TENNESSEE/OHIO VALLEY. WITH THE
CHANCE FOR HIGHER INSTABILITY AND HEAVY RAINFALL, PARTS OF ARLATEX
TO THE MID-SOUTH HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WITH A CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING FOR SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. IN ADDITION, STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ALSO ISSUED
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS, STRETCHING FROM EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ON SUNDAY, THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THE
MID-ATLANTIC STILL REMAINS UNDER A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO MOVE
INLAND BRINGING PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW MAY DEVELOP OVER
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AS THE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD ON
SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY, AS THE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER CALIFORNIA AND A
SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA COAST, CHANCES FOR
RAIN ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE COAST AND
INTERIOR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. AS THE MOISTURE MOVES OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN, MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SIERRA FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF CONUS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE PLAINS WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15-30
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. ACROSS CENTRAL U.S. INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC
WILL SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S, WHILE AREAS WITHIN
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST MAY SEE UP TO 70S AND 80S. OVER
INTO THE NORTHEAST, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL, WITH
HIGHS BETWEEN 30S-50S, WHILE THE WEST COAST WILL SEE 50S AND 60S.
OUDIT
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