701
FXUS01 KWBC 151940
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
239 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2026
VALID 00Z MON FEB 16 2026 - 00Z WED FEB 18 2026
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST ON MONDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST/EASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY...
..HEAVY SNOW FOR THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO OFF THE
SOUTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY LATE SUNDAY. AS THE STORM MOVES
ACROSS THE GULF COAST, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. THEREFORE, THE SPC
HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST/EASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, TORNADOES, AND A
MINIMAL THREAT OF HAIL. IN ADDITION, THE STORM WILL PRODUCE LIGHT
SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.
MEANWHILE, A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE OVER THE WEST
COAST FROM SUNDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY. LOWER-ELEVATION RAIN AND
HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE RAIN AND SNOW BECOME
STEADIER OVER THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.
FURTHERMORE, RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF CALIFORNIA, WITH SNOW
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SIMILARLY, RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW
WILL SPREAD INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST. FURTHER, THE STORM WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA
MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ADDITIONALLY, THE SNOW WILL
EXTEND AS FAR EAST AS THE ROCKIES.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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