490
FXUS01 KWBC 190801
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 AM EST THU FEB 19 2026
VALID 12Z THU FEB 19 2026 - 12Z SAT FEB 21 2026
...VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER 48 OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
...A DYNAMIC WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW, ICE AND SLEET IMPACTS
FROM NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY TO GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST
BEGINNING TONIGHT; SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL IN MIDWEST TODAY
FOLLOWED BY SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY...
...ACTIVE WEST COAST PATTERN CONTINUES WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY LOW
ELEVATION RAIN ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW THROUGH
THE SIERRA...
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE COUNTRY, WHILE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
SPREAD FROM WEST INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS...
...AN ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
A DEEP AND DYNAMIC MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE WILL ORGANIZE OVER THE
GREAT PLAINS TODAY, AND SPREAD MULTIPLE HAZARDS FROM THERE TO THE
EAST COAST OVER THE COMING DAYS. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUT DOWN SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND IOWA TODAY FOLLOWED
BY LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI TO LOWER OHIO VALLEYS
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING, WITH THE THREAT OF A COUPLE
TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE, ACCORDING
TO THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER. THERE'S ALSO A THREAT OF FIRE
WEATHER WARM, DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF:
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO, TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES, CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI, WHERE SPC ISSUED A CRITICAL RISK
OF FIRES TODAY.
THE SURFACE LOW STRENGTHENS WHILE IT MOVES INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW, SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED, WHILE SPREADING OVER THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IMPACTS FROM THIS WINTER
WEATHER ARE MOST LIKELY TO BE MINOR. SCATTERED TO ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES, WHERE SOME RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE, ACCORDING TO SPC.
IN THE WEST, ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW IN THE SIERRA IS EXPECTED
TODAY, AS WELL AS COASTAL/LOW ELEVATION RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF OVER 2
FEET WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF OVER 3 FEET POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY.
KEBEDE
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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