013
FXUS01 KWBC 211947
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
243 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2026
VALID 00Z SUN FEB 22 2026 - 00Z TUE FEB 24 2026
..MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR THE NORTHEAST
..HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING AND DEEPEN RAPIDLY BY SUNDAY
EVENING. THE STORM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST,
ADVANCING TO JUST OFF EASTERN MAINE BY MONDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. IN THE
MEANTIME, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL PRODUCE SNOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES AND HEAVY SNOW OVER THE WESTERN UP OF MICHIGAN AND ALONG
COASTAL LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
OVERNIGHT SATURDAY, SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS, THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC, AND PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST. HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
INTO THE NORTHEAST FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A LOW-PRESSURE
SYSTEM RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. SNOWFALL
RATES OVER 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL OCCUR AT TIMES, WITH SNOWFALL
TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET, RESULTING IN NEAR-IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.
FURTHERMORE, THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS
WILL RESULT IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS FROM
DELAWARE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND. FURTHER, SHARPLY
REDUCED VISIBILITY WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS ACROSS
THESE AREAS. WIND GUSTS OF 40-70 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM COASTAL NEW
JERSEY INTO SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. THESE STRONG WINDS, COMBINED
WITH THE WEIGHT OF HEAVY, WET SNOW, WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION, MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING, WITH INUNDATION OF ROADS AND PROPERTY NEAR THE
WATERFRONT, IS MOST LIKELY FROM DELAWARE TO CAPE COD. MEANWHILE,
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NORTHEAST/NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
IN THE MEANTIME, AN APPROACHING FRONT OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
WILL PRODUCE COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO THE NORTHWEST, CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING.
ZIEGENFELDER
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