883
FXUS01 KWBC 050811
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
310 AM EST THU MAR 05 2026
VALID 12Z THU MAR 05 2026 - 12Z SAT MAR 07 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TO
CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY, EXPANDING EASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF THE
MIDWEST ON FRIDAY...
...FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREADING OF WILDFIRES OVER THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...WINTRY WEATHER FOR THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES AND PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...
...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS
TO MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. TODAY AND FRIDAY...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WITH TROUGHING OVER THE ROCKIES
AND RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE EAST WILL SET UP A FAVORABLE
PATTERN FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN/FLASH
FLOODING FROM PORTIONS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS
TODAY. ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WILL BEGIN TO WIND
DOWN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AHEAD
OF A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING OVER TEXAS INTO OKLAHOMA.
THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE SEVERE WITH THE
ACTIVITY SPREADING NORTH AND EAST THROUGH OKLAHOMA INTO PARTS OF
KANSAS TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL FAVOR AN INCREASED THREAT FOR WILDFIRE DEVELOPMENT OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO TODAY AND SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF WESTERN
TEXAS ON FRIDAY.
ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, AREAS OF SNOW WILL
ADVANCE FROM THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST INTO THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKY MOUNTAINS TODAY, CONTINUING FOR THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES LIKELY FOR THE
HIGHER TERRAIN, WITH ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE FOR A FEW
LOCATIONS.
A WARM FRONT OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY WILL LIFT NORTH
THROUGH FRIDAY, ALLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE WARMTH TO EXPAND FROM THE
GREAT PLAINS INTO MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK. LOCATIONS FROM NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA INTO MUCH OF
THE OHIO VALLEY ARE EXPECTED TO SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 20 TO 30
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY FROM THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO PORTIONS
OF THE MIDWEST WHERE THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A SLIGHT AND
ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY.
NEW ENGLAND WILL STAY COOLER THAN AVERAGE DUE TO ITS LOCATION
NORTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
AND AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONTAL SURGE MOVES THROUGH LATER TODAY.
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR A WINTRY
MIX OF SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH
FREEZING RAIN LIKELY BEING THE DOMINANT HAZARD IN AND AROUND THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FROM INTERIOR NEW YORK INTO MASSACHUSETTS WITH ICE
ACCUMULATION VALUES OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES (LOCALLY HIGHER)
POSSIBLE. PRECIPIATION WILL END BY MID-DAY FRIDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
30S FOR MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.
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