698  
FXUS01 KWBC 170823  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
VALID 12Z TUE MAR 17 2026 - 12Z THU MAR 19 2026  
 
...AN ANOMALOUSLY EARLY HEATWAVE BEGINS TO INTENSIFY AND EXPAND  
EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S....  
 
...RECORD COLD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT INTO  
THE SOUTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...  
 
...DEEP CYCLONE AND POTENT COLD FRONT EXIT NEW ENGLAND EARLY THIS  
MORNING WITH LAKE-EFFECT SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERS OFF LATER TODAY...  
 
...WET ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON STATES AS LIGHT SNOW MOVES  
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...  
 
A DEEP CYCLONE TOGETHER WITH A POTENT COLD FRONT CONTINUE TO MOVE  
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND EARLY THIS MORNING WHERE VERY GUSTY WINDS,  
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND SHARPLY FALLING TEMPERATURES ARE STILL  
IN PROGRESS. THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE FARTHER AWAY INTO EASTERN  
CANADA AS THE DAY PROGRESSES BUT THE HUGE CIRCULATION WILL ALLOW  
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND  
BEFORE DIMINISHING ON WEDNESDAY. BEHIND THE BIG STORM, A QUIETER  
WEATHER PATTERN WILL FOLLOW FOR MUCH OF THE U.S. HOWEVER, AN  
UNUSUALLY EARLY HEATWAVE WILL BE EXPANDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE  
WESTERN U.S. AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING  
THE CENTURY MARK WILL BEGIN TO APPEAR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR WELL UP INTO THE 100S ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
DESERT SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES THIS HOT SO EARLY IN THE YEAR  
COULD SHATTER HIGH TEMPERATURES RECORDS BY AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES.  
EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE DESERT  
SOUTHWEST.  
 
MEANWHILE, FREEZE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH  
AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING DUE TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING  
WIND CHILL VALUES BEHIND THE DEEP CYCLONE. A MODERATING TREND IS  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT RECORD LOW  
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE  
SOUTHEAST. FOR THE NORTHERN TIER, A SWATH OF LIGHT SNOW WILL BE  
MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY REACHING INTO THE UPPER  
MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, DRY AND ANOMALOUSLY WARM WEATHER  
FROM THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BEGIN TO EXPAND INTO THE CENTRAL AND  
SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ACROSS THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST, AN OCCLUDED SYSTEM FROM THE PACIFIC WILL MOVE  
ONSHORE TO KEEP CONDITIONS WET FOR WESTERN WASHINGTON STATE, ALONG  
WITH CHANCES FOR SNOW/MIXED PRECIPITATION OVER THE CASCADES AND  
NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE WEATHER  
PREDICTION CENTER MAINTAINS A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
OVER PORTIONS OF WASHINGTON AS SOILS WILL BE RELATIVELY MOIST WITH  
ADDITIONAL 2-4" OF RAIN EXPECTED. FOR THE SUNSHINE STATE, SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS AS  
THE COLD FRONT BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY JUST TO THE SOUTH.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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