181  
FXUS01 KWBC 152000  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
VALID 00Z THU APR 16 2026 - 00Z SAT APR 18 2026  
 
...LATE SEASON SNOW FOR THE CASCADES, NORTHERN PLAINS, AND  
NORTHERN ROCKIES...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE C AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE GREAT LAKES  
AND THEN THE CENTRAL PLAINS, ALONG WITH A DRYLINE OVER THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS, WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY AND TO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY AND  
MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE  
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES.  
 
IN ADDITION, THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE  
GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THEREFORE, THE  
WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED  
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ON THURSDAY, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT  
RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHEAST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.  
 
MEANWHILE, A FRONT MOVES ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST  
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AND MOVES INLAND TO THE UPPER MIDWEST, CENTRAL  
ROCKIES, GREAT BASIN, AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY THURSDAY. THE  
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE A LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL OVER THE CASCADES,  
NORTHERN ROCKIES, AND NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL  
RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHWEST COAST THROUGH THURSDAY AS  
WELL. ALSO BY THURSDAY, RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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