749
FXUS01 KWBC 250801
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2026
VALID 12Z SAT APR 25 2026 - 12Z MON APR 27 2026
...MULTIPLE DAYS OF IMPACTFUL SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TO FOCUS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS...
...SNOW FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS,
GREAT BASIN, AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...
OUR VERY ACTIVE STRETCH OF SPRING SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEKEND ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AND MIDWEST AS A DRYLINE AND
MEANDERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTERACT WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
BENEATH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET-STREAM. TODAY, LARGE TO VERY
LARGE HAIL, TORNADOES, AND SEVERE WIND ARE LIKELY AS INTENSE
THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
ARK-LA-TEX REGION ACCORDING TO THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER, WHICH
HIGHLIGHTS A MODERATE RISK ON TODAY'S CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK. THE
SEVERE THREAT IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TOMORROW AS A LEE-SIDE CYCLONE TAKES SHAPE IN COLORADO, LEADING TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS CAPABLE OF ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER.
UNFORTUNATELY, THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE MONDAY OVER THE
MIDWEST AS THE DYNAMIC LEE-SIDE CYCLONE LEAVES THE PLAINS, LEADING
TO A SWATH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT ROUGHLY
ALONG A QUAD-CITIES TO MEMPHIS LINE. ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE THE MAIN HEADLINE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, THEY WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HIGH RAINFALL RATES
AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IN THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE.
WEST OF THE DRYLINE, ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND
SOUTHWEST WHERE A SWATH OF RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.
MEANWHILE, DEEP UPPER-TROUGHING WEST OF THE ROCKIES WILL LEAD TO
DAILY CHANCES OF SNOWFALL ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE. OVERALL, MINOR WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS ACTIVITY, ALTHOUGH A SWATH OF WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE
IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MONTANA THROUGH SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE, THE TROUGHING WILL MAINTAIN BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
FOR THE WEST, WHERE A FEW FREEZE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.
ASHERMAN
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