966
FXUS01 KWBC 082026
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
425 PM EDT FRI MAY 08 2026
VALID 00Z SAT MAY 09 2026 - 00Z MON MAY 11 2026
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE THUNDRSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY...
... RECORD BREAKING HEAT EXPECTED OUT WEST DURING AN EARLY MAY
HEATWAVE...
A COLD/STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE
BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS, MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AND THE OHIO
VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. FURTHERMORE, THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER (SPC) HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) FOR SEVERE
WEATHER OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY. THE MAIN WEATHER HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS EVENT WILL BE LIGHTNING, LARGE HAIL, AND SEVERE GUSTY WINDS.
ON SUNDAY, A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH INTO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS AND THE ARK-LA-TEX AREA WITH SPC ISSUING
A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5). THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH
SUNDAY'S EVENT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
IN ADDITION,THE STATIONARY FRONT ALONG THE GULF WILL PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE GULF COAST THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL, WHICH PROMPTED THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER (WPC) TO
ISSUE A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS
OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH TODAY. FOR TOMORROW,
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
WHERE A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN
EFFECT. A LOT OF THIS RAINFALL IS BENEFICIAL FOR DROUGHT STRICKEN
AREAS. HOWEVER, FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN AREAS.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THAT GREAT LAKES AND THE
MID-ATLANTIC ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL AID IN TH DEVELOPMENT OF SOME SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM. SPC HAS ISSUED A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1/5) FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
MID-ATLANTIC.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, THE WESTERN U.S. WILL EXPERIENCE AN EARLY MAY
HEATWAVE WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TO NEAR RECORD BREAKING IN THE GREAT BASIN, INTERMOUNTAIN WEST,
AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. WIDESPREAD HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE 80S AND 90S FOR HIGH TERRAIN OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO AND
LOW 100S IN THE VALLEYS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. THE
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LOWS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AS FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S., TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE
COOLER SIDE WITH AN ANTICIPATED COLD COMING FROM CANADA.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE 70S AND 60S FOR HIGHS AND LOWS IN
THE 40S AND 50S FOR THE WEEKEND ALONG THE EAST COAST AND OHIO
VALLEY. A STRONGER PUSH OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.
GREEN
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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