027  
FXUS01 KWBC 090624  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
223 AM EDT SAT MAY 09 2026  
 
VALID 12Z SAT MAY 09 2026 - 12Z MON MAY 11 2026  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...  
 
... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...  
 
A FRONT LINGERING ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH  
SUNDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING  
HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL  
2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL  
CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS,  
ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING THE MOST  
VULNERABLE.  
 
IN ADDITION, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS  
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING.  
THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES.  
 
ON SUNDAY, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.  
 
MEANWHILE, A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHERN  
HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST AND EASTWARD TO  
THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE  
SCATTERED RAIN FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON  
SATURDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP  
ALONG THE FRONT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE LATE EVENING.  
 
AS THE FRONT MOVES TO THE EAST COAST, RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE  
NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND  
CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTO MONDAY MORNING.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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