785  
FXUS01 KWBC 130759  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
358 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2026  
 
VALID 12Z WED MAY 13 2026 - 12Z FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN ON  
WEDNESDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY...  
 
...MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION  
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY...  
 
A FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD  
OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND THE GULF COAST BY THURSDAY. THE  
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE  
LOWER GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY AND THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. THE  
BOUNDARY MOVES OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC BY THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE  
LOW LINGERING NEAR THE NORTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY, BRINGING RAIN TO  
THE AREA.  
 
A SECOND FRONT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY WILL  
PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THEREFORE, THE SPC  
HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND THE NORTHERN  
ROCKIES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH  
THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES. ADDITIONALLY,  
TO THE SEVERE WEATHER, MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP FOR THE  
NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.  
 
ON THURSDAY, THE FRONT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND THE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT  
RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL  
PLAINS FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED  
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF THE  
UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
ELSEWHERE, A FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST, PRODUCING  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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