060
FXUS01 KWBC 131916
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
315 PM EDT WED MAY 13 2026
VALID 00Z THU MAY 14 2026 - 00Z SAT MAY 16 2026
...SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...
...MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES WILL
BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
A CHANCE FOR HIGH ELEVATION SNOW/MIXED PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE ROCKIES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC) CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT PARTS OF
GREAT BASIN INTO NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5)
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE,
ACROSS EASTERN U.S. A EXITING SURFACE LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC INTO NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL PROLONG SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEAST INTO EARLY
FRIDAY.
ACROSS CENTRAL U.S., A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS
THE PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY. DEEP GULF
MOISTURE WILL POOL ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY.
SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS PARTS OF KANSAS AND A MARGINAL RISK FOR PARTS OF THE PLAINS
INTO MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY.
ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL BE STRONG WIND
GUSTS, HAIL, AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR TORNADOES. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
VALLEY BY FRIDAY, BRINGING SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE KANSAS AND MISSOURI INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. AREAS ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL SEE HIGHS
RANGING 15-25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AS THE RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD,
THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN U.S. WILL TRANSITION
TO ABOVE SEASONAL BY THE WEEKEND.
OUDIT
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page