767  
FXUS01 KWBC 150806  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
VALID 12Z FRI MAY 15 2026 - 12Z SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
...ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF IOWA WITH  
A SLIGHT RISK EXTENDING DOWN TO THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES  
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...  
 
...NEXT ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST FOR THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...  
 
...HEAT BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS COOL AND UNSETTLED  
WEATHER SPREADS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES...  
 
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF HE  
COUNTRY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A WEAK WARM FRONT  
LIFTING NORTHWARD WILL INTERACT WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT AND  
ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE VICINITY OF IOWA  
ESPECIALLY BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS  
COULD ALSO BECOME SEVERE FARTHER SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL  
PLAINS TO THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES ESPECIALLY LATER TODAY  
AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS  
SOARING WELL INTO THE 90S TO THE 100S WILL ADD FUEL TO THE  
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD BREAK DAILY  
RECORDS FOR SOME LOCATIONS.  
 
RAIN ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL MAKE FOR A COOL AND DAMP START FOR  
TODAY. AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW BEGINS TO MOVE OFFSHORE, THE  
RAIN IS FORECAST TO TAPER OFF AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. A HIGH  
PRESSURE SYSTEM BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW WILL BRING COOL AND  
FINE WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EAST COAST TODAY BUT THE  
HEAT OVER THE MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD,  
WARMING THE HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE EAST  
COAST ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES IN NEW ENGLAND WILL ALSO RECOVER  
INTO THE 70S AND 80S ON SATURDAY BEFORE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED  
THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE LATER ON SATURDAY BEFORE THEY GRADUALLY TAPER  
OFF BY SUNDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.  
 
MEANWHILE, COOL AND INCREASINGLY UNSETTLED WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR  
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, GRADUALLY SPREADING INTO THE NORTHERN  
ROCKIES AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO THE  
ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH ALONG WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD  
FRONT. RAIN WILL BE SPREADING FARTHER INLAND WITH HIGH ELEVATION  
SNOW/MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR THE INTERIOR PACIFIC REACHING INTO  
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES EARLY ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AS A  
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO EXPAND AND DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN  
AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS EARLY ON SUNDAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALSO TRIGGER A SOMEWHAT MORE WIDESPREAD ROUND  
OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
SATURDAY NIGHT, REACHING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST EARLY ON SUNDAY.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab HPC Page
Main Text Page