978
FXUS01 KWBC 160825
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
423 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
VALID 12Z SAT MAY 16 2026 - 12Z MON MAY 18 2026
...SLIGHT TO ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MIDWEST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...NEXT ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST FOR THE
NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...
...HEAT SPREADS INTO THE EASTERN U.S. AS SPRING SNOWS BREW ACROSS
NORTHERN ROCKIES, GREAT BASIN, WYOMING, THE FRONT RANGE AND THE
WASATCH...
A SLOW-MOVING FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY
WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST THROUGH THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE,
THE RECENT COOL SPELL ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WILL GIVE WAY TO
HEAT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE INCREASING WARMTH WILL
HELP TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES AND THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
IN THE MEANTIME, AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING PROGRESSIVELY
COLDER AIR WITH HIGH ELEVATION SNOW/MIXED PRECIPIATION ACROSS THE
INTERIOR NORTHWEST AND THEN INTO THE GREAT BASIN FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND. BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, THE UPPER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DEEPEN FURTHER, ALONG WITH AN EXPANDING AND DEEPENING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THIS SETUP WILL
HELP DEVELOP WET SNOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WYOMING, THE FRONT
RANGE AND THE WASATCH EARLY ON MONDAY. IN ADDITION, WINDS WILL
BECOME GUSTY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENS.
ON THE MILDER SIDE OF THE SYSTEM, ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO
THE UPPER MIDWEST MAINLY FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN NEBRASKA TO SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND
SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA ON SUNDAY TO EARLY MONDAY.
UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 90S IN THE INTERIOR SECTION
BY SUNDAY. THE HOTTEST LOCATIONS WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WHERE HIGHS TOPPING THE CENTURY MARK IS FORECAST. BY MONDAY, BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WILL REACH INTO THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS SPRING SNOWFALL UNFOLDS ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES.
KONG
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