741  
FXUS01 KWBC 291935  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
334 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
 
VALID 00Z SAT MAY 30 2026 - 00Z MON JUN 01 2026  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS, ALONG  
WITH THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL  
PLAINS ON SATURDAY...  
 
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC  
WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THEN NORTHWARD TO THE NORTHERN  
HIGH PLAINS WILL HELP TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE  
SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER  
THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS, AS WELL AS THE  
SOUTHEAST. THEREFORE, ON FRIDAY, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK  
(LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS, AND THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH  
SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE MAINLY  
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
SIMILARLY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE  
OVER PARTS OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A  
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHEAST FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY  
RAIN WILL CAUSE MAINLY LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS,  
ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING THE MOST  
VULNERABLE.  
 
MEANWHILE, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A  
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING,  
SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
ON SATURDAY, A SECOND FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS  
OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, WITH HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC  
HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE MAINLY LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING,  
WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS BEING  
THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS, PRODUCING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS FROM  
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE  
THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL,  
AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
THE FRONT WILL ADVANCE INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS BY  
SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND SOME STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON  
SATURDAY. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE  
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF  
TORNADOES.  
 
OVERNIGHT SATURDAY, RAIN/SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES. FURTHERMORE, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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