946
FXUS01 KWBC 060646
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
245 AM EDT SAT JUN 06 2026
VALID 12Z SAT JUN 06 2026 - 12Z MON JUN 08 2026
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/CENTRAL PLAINS, AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/CENTRAL PLAINS, AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS, AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON
SATURDAY AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, OHIO VALLEY,
AND NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY...
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY AND MOISTURE FLOWING NORTHWARD OFF THE GULF OF
MEXICO WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, SOUTHERN ROCKIES, AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. ON SATURDAY, SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL MAINLY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING
AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.
MOREOVER, A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE NORTHEAST BY SUNDAY
MORNING. THE BOUNDARY WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SATURDAY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED
A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE
THREAT OF TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY
RAIN WILL MAINLY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS,
ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.
ON SUNDAY, THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST/OHIO VALLEY WILL
PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST/OHIO VALLEY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING,
SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.
FURTHERMORE, HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PART OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL
MAINLY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.
ALSO, A FRONT MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL TRIGGER
SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING,
SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE
MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS,
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ON SUNDAY. THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT
RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL
MAINLY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.
A SECOND FRONT MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE REGION. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.
ELSEWHERE, ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE
RAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
ZIEGENFELDER
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HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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