922
FXUS01 KWBC 070849
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
448 AM EDT SUN JUN 07 2026
VALID 12Z SUN JUN 07 2026 - 12Z TUE JUN 09 2026
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND TUESDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TENNESSEE VALLEY,
AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI, OHIO, AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS ON
MONDAY...
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS/GREAT BASIN WILL
MOVE EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY TUESDAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL
TRIGGER SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED AN
ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND
GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH POSSIBLE WET SNOW AT THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON SUNDAY MORNING.
IN ADDITION, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY AND MOISTURE FLOWING NORTHWARD OFF
THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY,
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS, AND TENNESSEE VALLEY, PRODUCING HEAVY
RAIN ON SUNDAY. THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL
2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS, AND TENNESSEE VALLEY
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL MAINLY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL
STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.
AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON MONDAY, SHOWERS
AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE REGION.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS FROM MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL,
AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.
FURTHERMORE, MOISTURE WILL MOVE OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI, OHIO,
AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT
WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK
(LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI, OHIO, AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS FROM MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL MAINLY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,
AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.
ON TUESDAY, THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL PRODUCE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED AN ENHANCED RISK
(LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST/OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS,
HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.
FURTHERMORE, MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PART OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL
1/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
TUESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, AFFECTING AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE RAPID
RUNOFF WITH HEAVY RAIN.
ZIEGENFELDER
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HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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