270  
FXUS01 KWBC 080839  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
438 AM EDT MON JUN 08 2026  
 
VALID 12Z MON JUN 08 2026 - 12Z WED JUN 10 2026  
 
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY AND THE UPPER/MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TENNESSEE VALLEY,  
AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER  
PARTS OF THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS AND NORTHERN PLAINS ON  
TUESDAY...  
 
MOISTURE FLOWING NORTHWARD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL  
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER THE  
UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, THE OHIO VALLEY, AND THE  
TENNESSEE VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL  
2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH  
TUESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL MAINLY CAUSE  
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
IN ADDITION, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THEREFORE,  
THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE  
CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED  
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND  
GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
ON TUESDAY, THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE HAZARDS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING,  
SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES. MOREOVER,  
THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
FURTHERMORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEY ON  
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL  
MAINLY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,  
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE OVER BOTH  
REGIONS.  
 
THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVES INTO THE UPPER/MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS THE FRONT MOVES EASTWARD ON WEDNESDAY.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON  
WEDNESDAY. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE  
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND THE THREAT OF  
TORNADOES.  
 
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP  
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
THEREFORE, THE WPC ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE  
RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL MAINLY CAUSE  
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
MEANWHILE, A FRONT MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON  
MONDAY WILL TRIGGER RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST AND THE  
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST, WHICH WILL MOVE INLAND TO THE NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION OVERNIGHT MONDAY. ONSHORE FLOW AND  
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL HELP PRODUCE RAIN AND HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW  
OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN  
REGION BY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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