888
ACUS43 KWBC 151456
SCCNS3
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 1 FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IN TEXAS HILL COUNTRY
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1100 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2026
...MULTIPLE DAYS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS,
PARTICULARLY THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT EXTENDING ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL
COUNTRY, WESTWARD THROUGH THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS IN THE TRANS-PECOS
OF THE WESTERN PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
THERE ARE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN TEXAS HILL COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY IN
CENTRAL TEXAS.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES, WARNINGS
AND ADVISORIES, PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 1000 AM EDT...A VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS CONTINUES TO
RESIDE IN PROXIMITY TO AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED STATIONARY FRONTAL
ZONE ACROSS EASTERN TO WESTERN TEXAS. THE FRONT RESIDES ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE UNITED STATES WITH VERY WEAK FLOW ALLOWING
FOR VERY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. EACH CYCLE COMES WITH HIGH
RAINFALL RATES AND LOCALIZED HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS IN
SHORT-DURATION RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING CONDITIONS. REPEATED
DAYS IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO PRIOR CYCLES HAVE RESULTED IN HIGH
RAINFALL TOTALS (SEE BELOW) ALSO RESULTING IN BROADENING RIVERINE
FLOODING.
...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 100 PM
EDT TUE JUL 13 THROUGH 900 AM EDT THU JUL 15...
..TEXAS
UVALDE 10 NNE 14.65 HADS
CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE 12.09
SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS 11.28 HADS
WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 10.99 HADS
CONCAN 0.7 S 9.79
CONCAN 4.4 SE 8.73
FRIO RIV. NEAR UVALDE 8.30 HADS
UTOPIA 2.2 WSW 8.18
GAUSE 2.5 W 7.17
CAMP WOOD 3.5 WSW 6.72
KERRVILLE AP 6.34 ASOS/AWOS
CAMERON 1E 6.30
KERRVILLE 6.19 CWOP
LEAKEY 0.5 E 6.14
COKE STEVENSON RANCH 5.95 TWDB
LA GRANGE 4.7 E 5.80
CONROE 1.9 SW 5.50
MILANO 5.2 SSE 5.50
BURTON 3.8 N 5.37
HUNTSVILLE 4.8 NNW 5.13
BURTON 6.9 SSW 4.89
BRYAN 1.2 SE 4.82
MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE 4.68
FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.6 WNW 4.50
CROSS MOUNTAIN 1.2 N 4.36
THE WOODLANDS 5 NW 4.32
NEW ULM 6.2 NNW 4.20
VERY SLOW MIGRATION OF THE CORE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE, WEAK
MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC WAVES ENHANCED BY ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
ACROSS THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY INTO THE TRANS PECOS REGION OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HIGH MOISTURE WITH SOME SOLAR HEATING WILL
LIKELY DESTABILIZE WITH MULTIPLE REGENERATIVE CYCLES OF
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY, TONIGHT AND INTO THE NEW FEW DAYS AS IT
SLOWLY SHIFTS INTO THE TRANS-PECOS IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RAINFALL
RATES OF 2-3"/HR ARE PROBABLE LOCALLY AND OVERALL TOTALS ARE
LOCALLY REACHING 10-15", THOUGH ADDITIONAL 10-15" ARE POSSIBLE
LOCALLY THOUGH MAY NOT INTERSECT AREAS THAT HAVE EXPERIENCED THOSE
TOTALS ALREADY AND WILL EXPAND THE OVERALL FOOTPRINT OF HIGHER
EXTREME RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE COMING DAYS. AS SUCH, THERE IS
A RARE HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN EFFECT TODAY INTO EARLY
TOMORROW FOR MUCH OF THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY INTO THE WESTERN HILL
COUNTRY WITH A SUBSEQUENT MODERATE RISK FOR DAY 2 (THURSDAY INTO
EARLY FRIDAY) FOR THE SAME GENERAL AREA SHIFTING SLIGHTLY
WESTWARD.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
GALLINA
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